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"I've been jabbed. Currently sick in bed on day 4 of 10. Its absolutely nasty this. No matter how much you don't want to if you get it be sure to drink water and eat. " Hope you feel better soon | |||
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"I've been jabbed. Currently sick in bed on day 4 of 10. Its absolutely nasty this. No matter how much you don't want to if you get it be sure to drink water and eat. " Feel better soon! Starting to hear so many people I know getting it now x even if they got jabbed | |||
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"I've been jabbed. Currently sick in bed on day 4 of 10. Its absolutely nasty this. No matter how much you don't want to if you get it be sure to drink water and eat. " Sorry, what do you mean by "day 4 of 10"? | |||
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"I've been jabbed. Currently sick in bed on day 4 of 10. Its absolutely nasty this. No matter how much you don't want to if you get it be sure to drink water and eat. Sorry, what do you mean by "day 4 of 10"?" Of having symptoms/ mandatory isolation. Took a test same day came up positive, booked for PCR test same day came up positive. No guarantee you'll recover after 10 days but that's how long we are told to isolate for (unless you are still sick) | |||
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"I've been jabbed. Currently sick in bed on day 4 of 10. Its absolutely nasty this. No matter how much you don't want to if you get it be sure to drink water and eat. Hope you feel better soon " Thank you. It's bizarre and worrying how the symptoms increase. Currently everything tastes like crushed tablets (including water) and I've a permenant metalic taste in my mouth. Getting out of breath really easily. | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. " what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. " The fact that you call it "gene therapy" and type with one finger tells me everything I need to know  | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. " It seems that you do a lot of thinking with your typing finger. The yellow cards can be filled by doctors, patients or relatives based on what they believe are side effects from a vaccine. If the spot you got the vaccinated feels sore or is swolen or is itchy, you can fill it in the yellow card too as a side effect. If you have headaques or chills, you can fill them on the yellow card too. And do you think that people who report side effects via yhe yellow card they report only one side effect? So do not get allarmed by the hundreds of thousands of side effects reported on the yellow cards. Obviously some of the side effects are serious but others are nothing or others are easily treated. As for the majority of people dying from covid and have an underlying illness, this is obvious as since the begining the health authorities say that the people who are more in danger from covid are the ones who have an underlying illness. | |||
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Was really weird to see him sat on the bbc sofa in the studio for the interview though | |||
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"I've been jabbed. Currently sick in bed on day 4 of 10. Its absolutely nasty this. No matter how much you don't want to if you get it be sure to drink water and eat. " Intensive care nurse. Both jabs, day 8 of covid and still totally drained. Headache,fatiguged, no taste or smell.. just drinking plenty Hope your feeling better soon. X | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. " The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. " Who are predicting we will have 200 deaths per day in the near future? | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. Who are predicting we will have 200 deaths per day in the near future?" Well for one, I am. And I've got history of being right on these things. It's not difficult sums to do. Number of cases week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. Number of hospitalisations week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming infected, hospitalisations will stay rising for a couple of weeks even if all new infections miraculously stopped today. Number of deaths week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming hospitalised, deaths will stay rising for at least a month even if all new hospital admissions miraculously stopped today. Current daily death rate averaging 30. Rise in death rate already locked in through two to three doublings. 30 = 60 = 120 = 240 a day. Also freedumb day means that any attempts to control spread are now officially abandoned by the government, plus super spreader events (football and freedumb day itself) so doublings will now continue until limit is reached of whatever proportion of the population is infectable (still something like 50% not fully vaccinated, and even some proportion of the vaccinated are getting infected and showing serious symptoms). So doing a few more doublings: 240 = 480 = 960 = 1920 = 3840 = 7680 = | |||
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"I had COVID at Christmas. It was shit. Never had shortness of breath though, just like really really bad flu. At one point my family thought I was dying. I thought it was touch and go. It was shit. After that, 6 months of long covid totally screwing my health. Went from running 30-50 miles a week to being impressed at managing the stairs and tying my shoe laces without getting dizzy. Racing heart rate, dizziness, shortness of breath, shit short term memory. Double vaccinated, without side effects, and now putting myself back together. Don't fuck about, do the right thing, get vaccinated and help others as well as yourself. We all dodged a bullet with this one being fairly mild. The next one might not be." Similar. Got Covid beginning of Jan. Pole axed off worm for 4 months. Am on CEV list. Developed blood clots in my legs long before I had the vaccine. Had other side effects but still not right.. smell and taste came back 5 months later. | |||
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"what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working" Gene therapy. Gene therapy would be a treatment designed to alter/modify DNA. Since none of the vaccines go near the cell DNA, it isn't gene therapy. mRNA occurs naturally in every persons cells...it is the way proteins are made. The instruction/s to manufacture proteins come from the cell DNA. The DNA is the "program" your body runs, the instruction to make proteins are taken from the DNA when it makes RNA in a process called transcription. The RNA carries the instructions to a cells ribosome where the protein/s the RNA codes for are made. The RNA in this case is called messenger RNA (mRNA). The protein made by the vaccine mRNA is the protein carried on the surface of the sars-cov-2 virus. When the vaccine mRNA coded protein is made it is displayed on the human cells surface and recognised by parts of the innate immune system as non-self. The antibodies of the innate system (non-specific if a new virus) which attach to the infected cell are then displayed to the adaptive immune system via antigen-presentation. T-cells will recognise the infected cell and kill it (well, cytoxic T cells will eventually).... No, no gene therapy. Just clever protein synthesis. Incidentally, the virus is usually attacked and destroyed by day 7 in most people....the after effects are another thing...and the deaths after are usually by a dramatic over-reaction by the bodies immune system or by other disease organisms taking advantage of the immune system being too busy with one virus. Most people will be recovered in a few weeks/months. Some won't. | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The fact that you call it "gene therapy" and type with one finger tells me everything I need to know "so you looked on the government website for adverse reactions and deaths. I have. And yes my research typing fingers work. They can type more than BBC and Sky news | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. Who are predicting we will have 200 deaths per day in the near future? Well for one, I am. And I've got history of being right on these things. It's not difficult sums to do. Number of cases week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. Number of hospitalisations week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming infected, hospitalisations will stay rising for a couple of weeks even if all new infections miraculously stopped today. Number of deaths week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming hospitalised, deaths will stay rising for at least a month even if all new hospital admissions miraculously stopped today. Current daily death rate averaging 30. Rise in death rate already locked in through two to three doublings. 30 = 60 = 120 = 240 a day. Also freedumb day means that any attempts to control spread are now officially abandoned by the government, plus super spreader events (football and freedumb day itself) so doublings will now continue until limit is reached of whatever proportion of the population is infectable (still something like 50% not fully vaccinated, and even some proportion of the vaccinated are getting infected and showing serious symptoms). So doing a few more doublings: 240 = 480 = 960 = 1920 = 3840 = 7680 = " OK Nostradamus i will take your word for it.  | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. Who are predicting we will have 200 deaths per day in the near future? Well for one, I am. And I've got history of being right on these things. It's not difficult sums to do. Number of cases week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. Number of hospitalisations week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming infected, hospitalisations will stay rising for a couple of weeks even if all new infections miraculously stopped today. Number of deaths week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming hospitalised, deaths will stay rising for at least a month even if all new hospital admissions miraculously stopped today. Current daily death rate averaging 30. Rise in death rate already locked in through two to three doublings. 30 = 60 = 120 = 240 a day. Also freedumb day means that any attempts to control spread are now officially abandoned by the government, plus super spreader events (football and freedumb day itself) so doublings will now continue until limit is reached of whatever proportion of the population is infectable (still something like 50% not fully vaccinated, and even some proportion of the vaccinated are getting infected and showing serious symptoms). So doing a few more doublings: 240 = 480 = 960 = 1920 = 3840 = 7680 = OK Nostradamus i will take your word for it. "No, please don't just take my word for it. Examine the data yourself, do the arithmetic yourself. If you find errors in my research of the data, or errors in my assumptions or errors in my arithmetic, point them out to me. Then we can both recheck, figure out where the problems are, and try to provide an improved forecast. Bookmark this post, over coming days check reality against prediction, if prediction is wrong (and god, I really hope it us wrong) we can all try to understand why it wasn't correct. We all have space to learn from experience. | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. Who are predicting we will have 200 deaths per day in the near future? Well for one, I am. And I've got history of being right on these things. It's not difficult sums to do. Number of cases week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. Number of hospitalisations week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming infected, hospitalisations will stay rising for a couple of weeks even if all new infections miraculously stopped today. Number of deaths week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming hospitalised, deaths will stay rising for at least a month even if all new hospital admissions miraculously stopped today. Current daily death rate averaging 30. Rise in death rate already locked in through two to three doublings. 30 = 60 = 120 = 240 a day. Also freedumb day means that any attempts to control spread are now officially abandoned by the government, plus super spreader events (football and freedumb day itself) so doublings will now continue until limit is reached of whatever proportion of the population is infectable (still something like 50% not fully vaccinated, and even some proportion of the vaccinated are getting infected and showing serious symptoms). So doing a few more doublings: 240 = 480 = 960 = 1920 = 3840 = 7680 = OK Nostradamus i will take your word for it.
No, please don't just take my word for it. Examine the data yourself, do the arithmetic yourself. If you find errors in my research of the data, or errors in my assumptions or errors in my arithmetic, point them out to me. Then we can both recheck, figure out where the problems are, and try to provide an improved forecast.
Bookmark this post, over coming days check reality against prediction, if prediction is wrong (and god, I really hope it us wrong) we can all try to understand why it wasn't correct.
We all have space to learn from experience."I have yesterday 34,471 new cases 6 deaths, going on your doubling up theory we would need 1 million new infections every day to reach your prediction of 200 deaths a day .  | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. Who are predicting we will have 200 deaths per day in the near future? Well for one, I am. And I've got history of being right on these things. It's not difficult sums to do. Number of cases week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. Number of hospitalisations week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming infected, hospitalisations will stay rising for a couple of weeks even if all new infections miraculously stopped today. Number of deaths week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming hospitalised, deaths will stay rising for at least a month even if all new hospital admissions miraculously stopped today. Current daily death rate averaging 30. Rise in death rate already locked in through two to three doublings. 30 = 60 = 120 = 240 a day. Also freedumb day means that any attempts to control spread are now officially abandoned by the government, plus super spreader events (football and freedumb day itself) so doublings will now continue until limit is reached of whatever proportion of the population is infectable (still something like 50% not fully vaccinated, and even some proportion of the vaccinated are getting infected and showing serious symptoms). So doing a few more doublings: 240 = 480 = 960 = 1920 = 3840 = 7680 = OK Nostradamus i will take your word for it.
No, please don't just take my word for it. Examine the data yourself, do the arithmetic yourself. If you find errors in my research of the data, or errors in my assumptions or errors in my arithmetic, point them out to me. Then we can both recheck, figure out where the problems are, and try to provide an improved forecast.
Bookmark this post, over coming days check reality against prediction, if prediction is wrong (and god, I really hope it us wrong) we can all try to understand why it wasn't correct.
We all have space to learn from experience.I have yesterday 34,471 new cases 6 deaths, going on your doubling up theory we would need 1 million new infections every day to reach your prediction of 200 deaths a day . "Picking yesterday's figure is disingenuous, the weekly figure as at 4pm on the 12th of this month is 118.. Monday's figures throughout have been low given the reporting anomalies over a weekend.. If your going to challenge figures at least set your data to an average.. | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. Who are predicting we will have 200 deaths per day in the near future? Well for one, I am. And I've got history of being right on these things. It's not difficult sums to do. Number of cases week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. Number of hospitalisations week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming infected, hospitalisations will stay rising for a couple of weeks even if all new infections miraculously stopped today. Number of deaths week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming hospitalised, deaths will stay rising for at least a month even if all new hospital admissions miraculously stopped today. Current daily death rate averaging 30. Rise in death rate already locked in through two to three doublings. 30 = 60 = 120 = 240 a day. Also freedumb day means that any attempts to control spread are now officially abandoned by the government, plus super spreader events (football and freedumb day itself) so doublings will now continue until limit is reached of whatever proportion of the population is infectable (still something like 50% not fully vaccinated, and even some proportion of the vaccinated are getting infected and showing serious symptoms). So doing a few more doublings: 240 = 480 = 960 = 1920 = 3840 = 7680 = OK Nostradamus i will take your word for it.
No, please don't just take my word for it. Examine the data yourself, do the arithmetic yourself. If you find errors in my research of the data, or errors in my assumptions or errors in my arithmetic, point them out to me. Then we can both recheck, figure out where the problems are, and try to provide an improved forecast.
Bookmark this post, over coming days check reality against prediction, if prediction is wrong (and god, I really hope it us wrong) we can all try to understand why it wasn't correct.
We all have space to learn from experience.I have yesterday 34,471 new cases 6 deaths, going on your doubling up theory we would need 1 million new infections every day to reach your prediction of 200 deaths a day .
Picking yesterday's figure is disingenuous, the weekly figure as at 4pm on the 12th of this month is 118..
Monday's figures throughout have been low given the reporting anomalies over a weekend..
If your going to challenge figures at least set your data to an average.."Yes very true so 118 as of the 12th, how many daily infection this month so far i dont have that data? the point is you cannot take a formula from pre vaccination when we all know the old you were the more likely you were to die and they have now along with the vulnerable have been jabbed. | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. Who are predicting we will have 200 deaths per day in the near future? Well for one, I am. And I've got history of being right on these things. It's not difficult sums to do. Number of cases week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. Number of hospitalisations week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming infected, hospitalisations will stay rising for a couple of weeks even if all new infections miraculously stopped today. Number of deaths week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming hospitalised, deaths will stay rising for at least a month even if all new hospital admissions miraculously stopped today. Current daily death rate averaging 30. Rise in death rate already locked in through two to three doublings. 30 = 60 = 120 = 240 a day. Also freedumb day means that any attempts to control spread are now officially abandoned by the government, plus super spreader events (football and freedumb day itself) so doublings will now continue until limit is reached of whatever proportion of the population is infectable (still something like 50% not fully vaccinated, and even some proportion of the vaccinated are getting infected and showing serious symptoms). So doing a few more doublings: 240 = 480 = 960 = 1920 = 3840 = 7680 = OK Nostradamus i will take your word for it.
No, please don't just take my word for it. Examine the data yourself, do the arithmetic yourself. If you find errors in my research of the data, or errors in my assumptions or errors in my arithmetic, point them out to me. Then we can both recheck, figure out where the problems are, and try to provide an improved forecast.
Bookmark this post, over coming days check reality against prediction, if prediction is wrong (and god, I really hope it us wrong) we can all try to understand why it wasn't correct.
We all have space to learn from experience.I have yesterday 34,471 new cases 6 deaths, going on your doubling up theory we would need 1 million new infections every day to reach your prediction of 200 deaths a day .
Picking yesterday's figure is disingenuous, the weekly figure as at 4pm on the 12th of this month is 118..
Monday's figures throughout have been low given the reporting anomalies over a weekend..
If your going to challenge figures at least set your data to an average.."Figures I'm seeing on worldometer for the last 7 days are (in reverse order) 6, 26, 34, 29, 35, 33, 37 = 200 Which gives an average of 28.57 deaths per day - my bad, my 30 a day starting number was grossly inflated! Though as you say, throughout the entire pandemic period the reporting is low over the weekend, Mondays generally show as the lowest (because nobody doing the counting on Sundays) and Tuesdays show as the highest (because of all the dead bodies being counted up on the Monday...). So my expectation would be a high thirties figure reported tomorrow for today, and the total deaths across the week to be in the ballpark of 300 (say plus or minus 20?). | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. Who are predicting we will have 200 deaths per day in the near future? Well for one, I am. And I've got history of being right on these things. It's not difficult sums to do. Number of cases week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. Number of hospitalisations week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming infected, hospitalisations will stay rising for a couple of weeks even if all new infections miraculously stopped today. Number of deaths week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming hospitalised, deaths will stay rising for at least a month even if all new hospital admissions miraculously stopped today. Current daily death rate averaging 30. Rise in death rate already locked in through two to three doublings. 30 = 60 = 120 = 240 a day. Also freedumb day means that any attempts to control spread are now officially abandoned by the government, plus super spreader events (football and freedumb day itself) so doublings will now continue until limit is reached of whatever proportion of the population is infectable (still something like 50% not fully vaccinated, and even some proportion of the vaccinated are getting infected and showing serious symptoms). So doing a few more doublings: 240 = 480 = 960 = 1920 = 3840 = 7680 = OK Nostradamus i will take your word for it.
No, please don't just take my word for it. Examine the data yourself, do the arithmetic yourself. If you find errors in my research of the data, or errors in my assumptions or errors in my arithmetic, point them out to me. Then we can both recheck, figure out where the problems are, and try to provide an improved forecast.
Bookmark this post, over coming days check reality against prediction, if prediction is wrong (and god, I really hope it us wrong) we can all try to understand why it wasn't correct.
We all have space to learn from experience.I have yesterday 34,471 new cases 6 deaths, going on your doubling up theory we would need 1 million new infections every day to reach your prediction of 200 deaths a day .
Picking yesterday's figure is disingenuous, the weekly figure as at 4pm on the 12th of this month is 118..
Monday's figures throughout have been low given the reporting anomalies over a weekend..
If your going to challenge figures at least set your data to an average..
Figures I'm seeing on worldometer for the last 7 days are (in reverse order) 6, 26, 34, 29, 35, 33, 37 = 200
Which gives an average of 28.57 deaths per day - my bad, my 30 a day starting number was grossly inflated!
Though as you say, throughout the entire pandemic period the reporting is low over the weekend, Mondays generally show as the lowest (because nobody doing the counting on Sundays) and Tuesdays show as the highest (because of all the dead bodies being counted up on the Monday...).
So my expectation would be a high thirties figure reported tomorrow for today, and the total deaths across the week to be in the ballpark of 300 (say plus or minus 20?)."so going by your figures if you take the daily infection rate between 28,000 and 34,000 and average it out that makes it 210,000 so to get to your predicition of 200 deaths a day we will have to get to over that rate of infection every day.  | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. what about if he hadn't of had the gene therapy jab. In the last 15 months my local hospital in reply to a freedom of information request. Replied showing only 22 death from covid alone with no other underlying illness. Look on the government adverse reaction yellow card site. You'll be amazed how many adverse reaction and how many deaths from people jabbed with this gene therapy. All research able get your typing finger working.. The appropriate valid evidence is fully peer reviewed material that's published in reputable journals, with anecdotal self-reports not cutting it for public consumption - leave that for the medical experts to process and research, is the sensible approach. The vaccines aren't gene therapy BTW. I agree that it's wise for everyone able to get a vaccine to do so, as this disease is pernicious. Organ damage and failure is not a great state to be left in, after just 1 infection, not to mention Long Covid, which we don't yet understand that well. Currently they are predicting that we could have around 200 deaths per day in the near future, depending on how the public responds after next Monday. Preventable infections and deaths are not something others should be excited about, just because they won't wear a mask and take simple precautions to help society. Who are predicting we will have 200 deaths per day in the near future? Well for one, I am. And I've got history of being right on these things. It's not difficult sums to do. Number of cases week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. Number of hospitalisations week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming infected, hospitalisations will stay rising for a couple of weeks even if all new infections miraculously stopped today. Number of deaths week on week increasing by approx 50%, with no sign whatsoever of slowing. And because of time lag behind becoming hospitalised, deaths will stay rising for at least a month even if all new hospital admissions miraculously stopped today. Current daily death rate averaging 30. Rise in death rate already locked in through two to three doublings. 30 = 60 = 120 = 240 a day. Also freedumb day means that any attempts to control spread are now officially abandoned by the government, plus super spreader events (football and freedumb day itself) so doublings will now continue until limit is reached of whatever proportion of the population is infectable (still something like 50% not fully vaccinated, and even some proportion of the vaccinated are getting infected and showing serious symptoms). So doing a few more doublings: 240 = 480 = 960 = 1920 = 3840 = 7680 = OK Nostradamus i will take your word for it.
No, please don't just take my word for it. Examine the data yourself, do the arithmetic yourself. If you find errors in my research of the data, or errors in my assumptions or errors in my arithmetic, point them out to me. Then we can both recheck, figure out where the problems are, and try to provide an improved forecast.
Bookmark this post, over coming days check reality against prediction, if prediction is wrong (and god, I really hope it us wrong) we can all try to understand why it wasn't correct.
We all have space to learn from experience.I have yesterday 34,471 new cases 6 deaths, going on your doubling up theory we would need 1 million new infections every day to reach your prediction of 200 deaths a day .
Picking yesterday's figure is disingenuous, the weekly figure as at 4pm on the 12th of this month is 118..
Monday's figures throughout have been low given the reporting anomalies over a weekend..
If your going to challenge figures at least set your data to an average..Yes very true so 118 as of the 12th, how many daily infection this month so far i dont have that data? the point is you cannot take a formula from pre vaccination when we all know the old you were the more likely you were to die and they have now along with the vulnerable have been jabbed."Where did I take any formula from pre-vaccination? All I have done is look at the data from the last few weeks. The number of positive tests is rising week on week. The shape of the curve is an exponential, where the number of new cases doubles approximately every two weeks. This is found simply by looking at the numbers and drawing a graph, without any reference whatsoever to any information from before the vaccination program. The number of hospitalisations is rising week on week. The shape of the curve is an exponential, where the number of new cases doubles approximately every two weeks. Comparing the curves of new positive tests with new hospitalisations, we see that there is some particular proportion of the new cases that require hospitalisation, with a time delay of 5 to 10 days. No reference is made to any information from before the vaccination program. One hope of the vaccination programme, which we do seem to be seeing, is that for vaccinated people the proportion (positive test) to (hospitalisation) would be lower than for unvaccinated. However (a) there is still something like 50% of the population incompletely vaccinated, and (b) there is still some proportion (although lower) of vaccinated people that have to be hospitalised with covid. Rising positive test rate is absolutely correlated with time delayed rising hospitalisation rate. The number of deaths of/with covid is rising week on week. The shape of the curve is an exponential, where the number of new cases doubles approximately every two weeks. Comparing the curves of new hospitalisations with deaths, we see that there is some particular proportion of the new hospitalisations that end in death, with a time delay of 10 to 30 days (and occasionally much longer). No reference is made to any information from before the vaccination program. One hope of the vaccination programme, which we do seem to be seeing, is that for vaccinated people the proportion (hospitalised) to (dying) would be lower than for unvaccinated. However (a) there is still something like 50% of the population incompletely vaccinated, and (b) there is still some proportion (although lower) of vaccinated people that die with/of covid. Rising hospitalisation rate is absolutely correlated with time delayed rising death rate. The number of positive test results is rising week on week. All remaining restrictions are being removed, so there is absolutely no reason to believe that infections will magically stop somehow, until all people that are liable to become infected do indeed become infected. We hope that at least some proportion of the population will now be immune either by vaccination or by previous infection, but looking at actual vaccination figures and dates, we can expect that something like 35 million people are as yet unprotected, and only a small proportion will have total immunity. Hospitalisations are rising week on week, and will continue rising for 5 to 10 days even if a 100% lockdown was introduced tomorrow and the positive results dropped to zero. However with no lockdown, and restrictions being removed, if anything we should expect new infections to increase faster, not slower. Deaths are rising week on week, and will continue rising for 15 to 40 days even if new infections dropped to zero. These are the people who are already infected, already fated to end up in hospital, already fated to die of/with covid. Walking dead if you like. We don't know who they are, they don't know who they are, but statistically there will be an extremely predictable number of deaths arising from the number of new cases reported today. And remember the proportion of new cases to resulting deaths is not given by (todays deaths) divided by (todays new cases). Deaths today are from new cases two to five weeks ago. So something like 30 deaths per day resulting from something like 7000 new cases per day. Which comes out at about 0.4% Unfortunately we also know that if/when the hospitals become overburdened, and are less able to provide intensive care for those that need it, the death rate will climb somewhat. During the final two weeks of the exponential growth, when fully 50% of those who are going to catch covid are all sick with it concurrently, we can expect that most of those needing intensive care will not be able to receive it and hence will just die. So at that point, the 0.4% infected to deaths fraction will become much higher, and also every other patient that requires intensive care for any reason will also not receive that care and will be highly likely to die. Absolute numbers? No idea. But it could make the 130 thousand already dead look like a small number. I hope I'm wrong. I hope that my reasoning is flawed. Please point out to me where I have made an incorrect deduction. Please show me how the government plan is in fact the best one. In the weeks to come please look back at my posts here and tell me I was wrong, I will be absolutely delighted if I am, because I really really do not want all those people to die. | |||
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"You fail to take into account with your 50% of the population you say are not fully vaccinated that the majority of them are not likely to die from covid anway as they are in the lowest category. Also as the rates rise again of course the death rates will too as you only have to had a positive test in the last 28 days to be counted but if you look at the data the average overall death rate (all causes) is down on the 5 year average for the last 5 weeks. As i said before the most at risk of death have been vaccinated but lets see in another month who is right." Erm... My figures already take into account current circumstances because they are figures taken from current circumstances. I have taken no notice of whatever the death rate was pre-vaccination, I have only been working with the death figures from this last week and the new case figures from a few weeks ago, as they are the cases that correlate with current deaths. I have not assumed any particular likelihood of any particular age group dying, all I have done is looked at the number of people in the current age spread that are catching it and the number that are dying from it. Without something major changing in the last few weeks about the risk spread in the group that are catching it, there will be nothing major that changes in the relative number catching it and eventually dying of it. Yes, over the last few weeks a few more have been vaccinated, maybe 10% more? So that might make a change of maybe 10% in the proportions. It will make very little difference in the end game though. Final death toll up a bit or down a bit. Reaches full saturation in the population a week earlier or a week later. And overall death rate is down over the last 5 weeks because (a) lots of the people who were due to die over the last few weeks actually died a year earlier, we are now starting to kill off those who should have lived until next year or maybe for another 5, 10, 20 years, and (b) at any moment that you look, the deaths occurring lag behind the infections occurring. Funnily enough, the average death rate is lower than normal in the gaps between waves of any plague, precisely because it is higher than normal at the peaks of the waves. | |||
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"It's frustrating the NHS won't keep on top of the covid dashboard. Last time figures were updated was Thursday. Almost a week ago " Yes. The sensible voice in my head says this is because they are a bit busy with everything that is going on. The paranoid voice in my head says it is because the new health minister does not want the figures to be up to date, as they would contra-indicate his current course of action. | |||
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"It's frustrating the NHS won't keep on top of the covid dashboard. Last time figures were updated was Thursday. Almost a week ago Yes. The sensible voice in my head says this is because they are a bit busy with everything that is going on. The paranoid voice in my head says it is because the new health minister does not want the figures to be up to date, as they would contra-indicate his current course of action." I'm listening to the paranoid voice. They have these figures absolutely zero reason not to be transparent with people. It's not like the person working the website will be doing shifts on the ward. | |||
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"A young lad at my work has been hospitalised with kidney damage from Covid. There is an article on the Beeb this morning saying it’s very much a thing. I just wanted to encourage folk to still get jabbed even though younger people stand less chance of dying - this virus can still do horrible things to you with long term damage without you immediately dying from it. " The vaccines had killed two people I know they got heart issues etc look it up https://coronavirus-yellowcard.mhra.gov.uk/ | |||
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"It's frustrating the NHS won't keep on top of the covid dashboard. Last time figures were updated was Thursday. Almost a week ago " That’s because they’re bricking it about the football wave. | |||
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"I’m double vaccinated and on day 9 of Covid. Still getting worse. If I don’t keep on top if taking pills then my temp shoots up. Sometimes it shoots up even if I do. Coughed so much today that I vomited. Can’t sleep tonight because nothing will stop my cough. I feel terrible. No sense of smell at all. I’ve never felt so poorly for so long. " Have you rang Dr's, or 111 | |||
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"It's frustrating the NHS won't keep on top of the covid dashboard. Last time figures were updated was Thursday. Almost a week ago That’s because they’re bricking it about the football wave. " Well they can't hide the data forever. | |||
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"I’m double vaccinated and on day 9 of Covid. Still getting worse. If I don’t keep on top if taking pills then my temp shoots up. Sometimes it shoots up even if I do. Coughed so much today that I vomited. Can’t sleep tonight because nothing will stop my cough. I feel terrible. No sense of smell at all. I’ve never felt so poorly for so long. Have you rang Dr's, or 111" Yeah I had a 111 video call on Sunday and got some advice re my temperature. | |||
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