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"The one in 50 is people who currently have Covid. So if you add in all the people who have had it previously, what would the figure in 50 be ?" I was thinking the same | |||
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"The one in 50 is people who currently have Covid. So if you add in all the people who have had it previously, what would the figure in 50 be ?" Indeed. How many had it in the first wave ? | |||
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"Quick search on total cases 2.34 million in England 0.157 million in Scotland" is it currently infect or have had covid, out the 1.1 mil they say 50% have already recovered, you can really trick the number anyway you really want. Data can be manipulated and has been since day 1. Be careful yes stop living no. | |||
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"Quick search on total cases 2.34 million in England 0.157 million in Scotland" How do they get this figures when you see amount of actual tests daily. Is it think of a number and double it and add some on and that will spook the public? | |||
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"We had more messages for meets after the lockdown announcement last night than we'd had in about the preceding 4 or 5 days. Absolutely insane." People thinking “oh great. Six weeks free off work on furlough, what shall I do”. Muppets, all of them! | |||
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"And still people posting meets ! Are you serious?! " I love it when people post webcam verifications and it's say's meet or met. | |||
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"We had more messages for meets after the lockdown announcement last night than we'd had in about the preceding 4 or 5 days. Absolutely insane. People thinking “oh great. Six weeks free off work on furlough, what shall I do”. Muppets, all of them! " Fully agree! | |||
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"Uk had 60,916 reported new cases today 27 other European countries had a combined total of 124,843 A third of Europe’s covid is in the UK. It didn’t spread itself. Tottenham and West Ham footballers, MP’s, Rita Ora and uk public at large flouting rules. " If you arent testing you arent going to get lots of positive results. You need to compare things equally. | |||
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"It’s about time the fab owners and demons pulled their socks up and worked the site within government guidelines. Remove status bars and disable verifications, instant ban for anyone who meets simple as that. " 
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"Uk had 60,916 reported new cases today 27 other European countries had a combined total of 124,843 A third of Europe’s covid is in the UK. It didn’t spread itself. Tottenham and West Ham footballers, MP’s, Rita Ora and uk public at large flouting rules. If you arent testing you arent going to get lots of positive results. You need to compare things equally." This is basic stuff but passes most people by it seems. There was little testing during the first wave so thats the first big ommision. Then the number of positives is also meaningless without knowing the number of tests. Its the percentage of positives thats the important figure . If we stopped testing everyone tomorrow cases would vanish .. if you get my meaning. | |||
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ? If the r is ? Whatever the number is How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked " it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ... | |||
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ? If the r is ? Whatever the number is How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ..." It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services. | |||
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ? If the r is ? Whatever the number is How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ... It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services." Yes I get that..over in the lockdown sense... | |||
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ? If the r is ? Whatever the number is How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ... It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services. Yes I get that..over in the lockdown sense..." Just wondering in a purely maths way 1 in 50 , plus however many have had it , x the r number , - however many have been vaccinated How many days , weeks or months until 45 million (70%) have got it | |||
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"We are a million miles from herd immunity. End of." Never said it was close. But we truly don't know. We didn't mass test during the first wave. | |||
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"We are a million miles from herd immunity. End of." How far away is a million miles in actual days ? | |||
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"We are a million miles from herd immunity. End of." especially now the who changed its definition on their website too. | |||
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ? If the r is ? Whatever the number is How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ... It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services. Yes I get that..over in the lockdown sense... Just wondering in a purely maths way 1 in 50 , plus however many have had it , x the r number , - however many have been vaccinated How many days , weeks or months until 45 million (70%) have got it " The 1-50 is an estimate not confirmed infections If I take the London figure 1-30 been muted about, taking into account individuals I know - a 200 office team - my sons year bubble of 70 children plus one parent, no siblings - 140 - neighbours and friends (and their families) accounting for about another 100 people all within the London area that is approximately 440 people, so of them 14 should have tested positive - there have been 3 positive cases in my circle. Estimates are just that and have a margin or error on both ends of the scale. | |||
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ? If the r is ? Whatever the number is How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ... It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services. Yes I get that..over in the lockdown sense... Just wondering in a purely maths way 1 in 50 , plus however many have had it , x the r number , - however many have been vaccinated How many days , weeks or months until 45 million (70%) have got it The 1-50 is an estimate not confirmed infections If I take the London figure 1-30 been muted about, taking into account individuals I know - a 200 office team - my sons year bubble of 70 children plus one parent, no siblings - 140 - neighbours and friends (and their families) accounting for about another 100 people all within the London area that is approximately 440 people, so of them 14 should have tested positive - there have been 3 positive cases in my circle. Estimates are just that and have a margin or error on both ends of the scale. " But as we know, infections are often grouped together in clumps. Family clumps, specific geographic areas eg those with high density housing etc. So using our own social circle as a yardstick isn't always accurate either. Based on my social circle and colleagues, we don't have any problems in the UK at all, as we know very few who have tested positive. But we know that's not the case. | |||
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ? If the r is ? Whatever the number is How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ... It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services. Yes I get that..over in the lockdown sense... Just wondering in a purely maths way 1 in 50 , plus however many have had it , x the r number , - however many have been vaccinated How many days , weeks or months until 45 million (70%) have got it The 1-50 is an estimate not confirmed infections If I take the London figure 1-30 been muted about, taking into account individuals I know - a 200 office team - my sons year bubble of 70 children plus one parent, no siblings - 140 - neighbours and friends (and their families) accounting for about another 100 people all within the London area that is approximately 440 people, so of them 14 should have tested positive - there have been 3 positive cases in my circle. Estimates are just that and have a margin or error on both ends of the scale. But as we know, infections are often grouped together in clumps. Family clumps, specific geographic areas eg those with high density housing etc. So using our own social circle as a yardstick isn't always accurate either. Based on my social circle and colleagues, we don't have any problems in the UK at all, as we know very few who have tested positive. But we know that's not the case. " I’m aware of that and live it, using that scenario still no way near the figures estimated | |||
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"So if it's 1 in 50 have it now , and however many have already had it ? If the r is ? Whatever the number is How long until 70% of the country have had it ? And we have herd immunity Just wondering how long we have to wait until someone says , oh ! That's hasn't worked it will be a combination of herd immunity and vaccination that will end this. But it does make you wonder when it will be decided its over ... It will never be over, the flu is never over colds are never over, life will return to normal once numbers are low enough for it not to overwhelm health services." That’s is surely the way it’s got to be . It’s never going to go ! The flu was there in 1918 ( and before ) it’s still here 102 years later | |||
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"And still people posting meets ! Are you serious?! " No way 1 in 50 infected
OMG I didn't realise figures were that high in the UK. | |||
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"And still people posting meets ! Are you serious?! No way 1 in 50 infected
OMG I didn't realise figures were that high in the UK. "Estimated figures, not facts. | |||
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"The one in 50 is people who currently have Covid. So if you add in all the people who have had it previously, what would the figure in 50 be ?" Currently nearer 1 in 40 | |||
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"The big danger is that this variant is now spreading Northwards. The NHS are getting extremely worried. If you flout the rules, then you will most definitely have blood on your hands, and it won't be forgotten! " Seems to be more contagious but less deadly | |||
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"Are we now on the way to herd immunity as more people are contracting the virus? " Been saying Herd Herd Herd immunity from.day 1. | |||
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"It’s about time the fab owners and demons pulled their socks up and worked the site within government guidelines. Remove status bars and disable verifications, instant ban for anyone who meets simple as that. " Why stop there? Why not shut the forums or the entire site then nobody can do any wrong | |||
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"Quick search on total cases 2.34 million in England 0.157 million in Scotland" Take into account the population differences and the population density. Not comparible in the real world. | |||
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"And still people posting meets ! Are you serious?! " Dirty buggers  | |||
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