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"He did very well with his modelling of what was going to happen in Sweden.." He's never once been close with a model. It's guess work. Every model he has come up with has been out by enormous orders of magnitude. Mad cow in the 80's he said 60,000 would die. How many? About 200. Avian 10 years ago.200 million would die world wide. In reality less than 100k. This covid bull he said would kill 500k in the uk. Nope. | |||
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"To be fair he said 500k if nothing was done We had a literally unprecedented national lockdown for over a month and even then 50000 died - so had we done nothing he may well have been right And I’m not criticising anyone for turning down that chance he had!" Wooooohhh. Hold on tiger. The figures are debatable. When they are admitting to putting covid on death certificates without testing,when their testing is less than reliable....think again. | |||
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"If the modeling is accurate, pat yourself on the back and say how clever you are. If the modeling is not accurate, pat yourself on the back and say how clever you are. Thanks to intervention based on your model a worse disaster was avoided." The great thing with modelling is that they support learning feedback, as data is refined and the modeller is always hungry for such opportunities. | |||
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"If the modeling is accurate, pat yourself on the back and say how clever you are. If the modeling is not accurate, pat yourself on the back and say how clever you are. Thanks to intervention based on your model a worse disaster was avoided. The great thing with modelling is that they support learning feedback, as data is refined and the modeller is always hungry for such opportunities. " . If that were true then his models should get better alas his models have never changed, he's been out by many factors on every model he's ever done over many years with many different viruses and there ALWAYS over exaggerated, if this guy worked in any public sector that relied on his model he would have been out of work ten years ago. He's an absolute clown. | |||
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"If the modeling is accurate, pat yourself on the back and say how clever you are. If the modeling is not accurate, pat yourself on the back and say how clever you are. Thanks to intervention based on your model a worse disaster was avoided. The great thing with modelling is that they support learning feedback, as data is refined and the modeller is always hungry for such opportunities. . If that were true then his models should get better alas his models have never changed, he's been out by many factors on every model he's ever done over many years with many different viruses and there ALWAYS over exaggerated, if this guy worked in any public sector that relied on his model he would have been out of work ten years ago. He's an absolute clown." It sounds like a slur, unless backed up with evidence from credible sources. What's your expertise with statistical modelling? | |||
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"If the modeling is accurate, pat yourself on the back and say how clever you are. If the modeling is not accurate, pat yourself on the back and say how clever you are. Thanks to intervention based on your model a worse disaster was avoided. The great thing with modelling is that they support learning feedback, as data is refined and the modeller is always hungry for such opportunities. . If that were true then his models should get better alas his models have never changed, he's been out by many factors on every model he's ever done over many years with many different viruses and there ALWAYS over exaggerated, if this guy worked in any public sector that relied on his model he would have been out of work ten years ago. He's an absolute clown. It sounds like a slur, unless backed up with evidence from credible sources. What's your expertise with statistical modelling? " . None just look at his past predictions, hell that's the whole point of a model, to give you an accurate picture scenarios, his are utterly useless in the fact there out wildly. | |||
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"I listened to it and he's an impressive talker,perhaps that's how he convinced the politicians of all his bullshit. He only let his facade slip when he didn't apologise for letting his girlfriend come around during lockdown" He's like a scientific Cummings | |||
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"I listened to it and he's an impressive talker,perhaps that's how he convinced the politicians of all his bullshit. He only let his facade slip when he didn't apologise for letting his girlfriend come around during lockdown He's like a scientific Cummings" Although cummings is a crap talker .but has bojo by the balls! | |||
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"If the modeling is accurate, pat yourself on the back and say how clever you are. If the modeling is not accurate, pat yourself on the back and say how clever you are. Thanks to intervention based on your model a worse disaster was avoided. The great thing with modelling is that they support learning feedback, as data is refined and the modeller is always hungry for such opportunities. . If that were true then his models should get better alas his models have never changed, he's been out by many factors on every model he's ever done over many years with many different viruses and there ALWAYS over exaggerated, if this guy worked in any public sector that relied on his model he would have been out of work ten years ago. He's an absolute clown. It sounds like a slur, unless backed up with evidence from credible sources. What's your expertise with statistical modelling? . None just look at his past predictions, hell that's the whole point of a model, to give you an accurate picture scenarios, his are utterly useless in the fact there out wildly." That's not the scientific analysis that is required to reach your conclusions | |||
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