FabSwingers.com forum: Odds on actually meeting someone with covid19

By *eddy and legs OP Couple
over a year ago

the wetlands

Based on current predictions of infection levels someone work it out

Less that the odds of winning the lottery this year ?

Assuming those with full symptoms will probably not be shopping or in a swingers club

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

You can meet someone who is infected but doesn't show any symptoms.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *luebell888Woman
over a year ago

Glasgowish

"Based on current predictions of infection levels someone work it out

Less that the odds of winning the lottery this year ?

Assuming those with full symptoms will probably not be shopping or in a swingers club"

So you think it is worth the risk?.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *oirinMarkusCouple
over a year ago

West Midlands and West London

I was feeling a little odd just before Johnson announced isolation. Still meet up with a new gentleman after warning him. Back then, 111 pretty much said I was stupid for asking as I hadn't been to Italy or China.

Obv my point is I had Covid and didn't even know, and I passed it onto the new gentleman.

So the odds aren't as low as fools think!

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *urekamanfor2Man
over a year ago

Shoreham

"I was feeling a little odd just before Johnson announced isolation. Still meet up with a new gentleman after warning him. Back then, 111 pretty much said I was stupid for asking as I hadn't been to Italy or China.

Obv my point is I had Covid and didn't even know, and I passed it onto the new gentleman.

So the odds aren't as low as fools think! "

Myself and wife have both had it so anyone who shopped(just prior symptoms) in the same supermarket would have liked to have known .

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *ustfun 1984Man
over a year ago

exeter

Obv my point is I had Covid and didn't even know, and I passed it onto the new gentleman.

So the odds aren't as low as fools think!

Myself and wife have both had it so anyone who shopped(just prior symptoms) in the same supermarket would have liked to have known ."

So you both where tested??

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *ylonSlutTV/TS
over a year ago

Durham

Odd on winning euromillions just over 145 million to 1. Odds on dying of the coronavirus is at the moment just over 2200 to 1. So OP you are quite a bit more likely to die of corona virus than win the lottery.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *ylonSlutTV/TS
over a year ago

Durham

That is in the uk by the way.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

My partner tested positive and was asymptomatic. Only got tested because someone she works with got ill. So you see the actual number of infected is unknown because only the sick are tested.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Based on current predictions of infection levels someone work it out

Less that the odds of winning the lottery this year ?

Assuming those with full symptoms will probably not be shopping or in a swingers club"

I'm struggling to understand the point of your post...might be me..but..

Are you trying to imply that the risk of getting Covid19 is low...well it's a yes and no right now..

We are lockdown for a reason...that reason is to reduce those that have/catch it..the reason for this is whilst a lot won't die...many will and even those that catch it and recover..are suffering significant damage to their lungs from it..

So again what's the point of your post..cause some things are actually about the bigger picture

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Lot of people say they've had it. But they were not tested. How do you know? You might have symptoms but how do you know it's Covid and not anything else?

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *urekamanfor2Man
over a year ago

Shoreham

The testing was slow to start with but it's very easy to get tested now

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *ingle ex cuckMan
over a year ago

chester

Two risk is high of catching a corana virus

But if you take neccassary precautions then the risk is lower for it actually developing into the life threatening disease of corona virus - named covid 19

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *naswingdressWoman
over a year ago

Manchester (she/her)

Odds of meeting someone who's been confirmed by testing... pretty low.

Odds of meeting someone who doesn't know they're contagious. Unknown.

Odds of, if you catch it, passing it on to lots of others if you don't social distance. Too high.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *ingle ex cuckMan
over a year ago

chester

"The testing was slow to start with but it's very easy to get tested now "

Testing is only for people with symptoms

If you haven’t got symptoms then your test is out of date after 7 days

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *evaquitCouple
over a year ago

Catthorpe

Obv my point is I had Covid and didn't even know, and I passed it onto the new gentleman.

So the odds aren't as low as fools think!

Myself and wife have both had it so anyone who shopped(just prior symptoms) in the same supermarket would have liked to have known .

So you both where tested??"

I'm guessing not. We are in the exact same situation with myself (him) very close to hospitalization. We carry on as though we haven't had it due to no test being available even though diagnosed over the phone saying 'seems like you have it'.

To answer the question we wouldn't chance it at all.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *rHotNottsMan
over a year ago

Dubai & Nottingham

"Odd on winning euromillions just over 145 million to 1. Odds on dying of the coronavirus is at the moment just over 2200 to 1. So OP you are quite a bit more likely to die of corona virus than win the lottery."

Unlike a lottery , the odds of dying from COVID-19 are very different for each of us, the average across the entire UK population may 1:2200 I’ve no idea, but the virus doesn’t follow the rules of averages. A fit 30 year old in a remote part of Ireland has different odds to a 75 year old with heart disease in London.

The odds of me dying are zero, if you don't believe me check back in 30 years and you will see that I was correct

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *limmatureguyMan
over a year ago

Tonbridge

The odds of the op dying (given his age group) in the next year is 1 in 112. For a woman 55-64 it would be 1 in 179. So he is about 20 times more likely to die of something other than Corona virus this year.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *naswingdressWoman
over a year ago

Manchester (she/her)

My odds of dying are unknown, because my pre existing conditions plus unknown genetic peculiarities react in an unknown way with a novel virus.

My odds of long term morbidity are unknown, because this disease hasn't been around long enough for anyone to know that about anyone.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"But if you take neccassary precautions then the risk is lower for it actually developing into the life threatening disease of corona virus - named covid 19 "

Arent Coronavirus and covid-19 exactly the same thing? I'm not sure what you mean that by necessary precautions stopping it becoming life threatening?

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *naswingdressWoman
over a year ago

Manchester (she/her)

"But if you take neccassary precautions then the risk is lower for it actually developing into the life threatening disease of corona virus - named covid 19

Arent Coronavirus and covid-19 exactly the same thing? I'm not sure what you mean that by necessary precautions stopping it becoming life threatening?"

Covid-19 is the disease caused by SARS-COVID-2, which is a corona virus

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *abioMan
over a year ago

Newcastle and Gateshead

"Based on current predictions of infection levels someone work it out

Less that the odds of winning the lottery this year ?

Assuming those with full symptoms will probably not be shopping or in a swingers club"

really.... because interesting they are doing a blind study in new york state into roughly how much of the population the virus..

they have done 20,000 "blind tests" so far.... in results have been that 18% of the population have it so far (they may be asymptomatic so may not show)

so you giving me a 1 in 5 chance on winnin the lottery...

in the last week... i know of at least 5 people who have had it... my aunt died of it last saturday... and i am on the "stay at home" list

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *ethnmelvCouple
over a year ago

Cardiff

"Based on current predictions of infection levels someone work it out

Less that the odds of winning the lottery this year ?

Assuming those with full symptoms will probably not be shopping or in a swingers club"

Fact Check

Odds of winning UK National Lottery, approx 1 in 45million

Covid 19 odds - Uk Population 65million and 187,000 confirmed cases

So, a 1 in 350 chance of meeting someone with Covid 19 and that is just confirmed cases. So the ‘someone’ who worked it out was worse than Diane Abbot at maths...

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

I love it when someone try’s playing with stats and figures. That’s a 100% lie!

You have more chance of being struck by lightning, than dying of COVID

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"The testing was slow to start with but it's very easy to get tested now

Testing is only for people with symptoms

If you haven’t got symptoms then your test is out of date after 7 days "

Err actually your test is out of date the split second after your sample is taken.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *wickermanMan
over a year ago

Staines

Fact Check

....Uk Population 65million and 187,000 confirmed cases

So, a 1 in 350 chance of meeting someone with Covid 19 and that is just confirmed cases. So the ‘someone’ who worked it out was worse than Diane Abbot at maths...

Given that most under 21's are "effectively" asymptomatic the certified cases are drawn from the older sectors of the population so the likely total number of already infected and current active spreaders is markedly higher. There is probably sufficient spread in children for herd immunity hence letting them out of lockdown first.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *eddy and legs OP Couple
over a year ago

the wetlands

[Removed by poster at 03/05/20 19:04:54]

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *eddy and legs OP Couple
over a year ago

the wetlands

"Based on current predictions of infection levels someone work it out

Less that the odds of winning the lottery this year ?

Assuming those with full symptoms will probably not be shopping or in a swingers club

Fact Check

Odds of winning UK National Lottery, approx 1 in 45million

Covid 19 odds - Uk Population 65million and 187,000 confirmed cases

So, a 1 in 350 chance of meeting someone with Covid 19 and that is just confirmed cases. So the ‘someone’ who worked it out was worse than Diane Abbot at maths...

I guess you took reading lessons from the Diane abbot school as you missed the question mark

You're also assuming all 187000 confirmed cases remain positive.

You're also assuming there is only one lottery prize

The post was just simply to see if there were any rational people and I guess there aren't

Everyone jumps in with the most negative assumption they can come up with

Thanks

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *rHotNottsMan
over a year ago

Dubai & Nottingham

I love it when someone try’s playing with stats and figures. That’s a 100% lie!

You have more chance of being struck by lightning, than dying of COVID "

Seriously ? Should we be panic buying boots with rubber soles instead of pasta and toilet roll ? Or it that another urban myth.... I’m so confused, help.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Two risk is high of catching a corana virus

But if you take neccassary precautions then the risk is lower for it actually developing into the life threatening disease of corona virus - named covid 19 "

And what precautions are these ?

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Based on current predictions of infection levels someone work it out

Less that the odds of winning the lottery this year ?

Assuming those with full symptoms will probably not be shopping or in a swingers club

Fact Check

Odds of winning UK National Lottery, approx 1 in 45million

Covid 19 odds - Uk Population 65million and 187,000 confirmed cases

So, a 1 in 350 chance of meeting someone with Covid 19 and that is just confirmed cases. So the ‘someone’ who worked it out was worse than Diane Abbot at maths...

I guess you took reading lessons from the Diane abbot school as you missed the question mark

You're also assuming all 187000 confirmed cases remain positive.

You're also assuming there is only one lottery prize

The post was just simply to see if there were any rational people and I guess there aren't

Everyone jumps in with the most negative assumption they can come up with

Thanks

Not from me! I’m with you!

Fact is sadly 250,000 have passed away. But there is 7.7 billion people in the world.

That’s the real numbers, but everyone loves to be negative or try and make out they are some kind of expert!

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *hantelle-La-SlutTV/TS
over a year ago

South Birmingham

"But if you take neccassary precautions then the risk is lower for it actually developing into the life threatening disease of corona virus - named covid 19

Arent Coronavirus and covid-19 exactly the same thing? I'm not sure what you mean that by necessary precautions stopping it becoming life threatening?"

Coronaviruses include the common cold/flu, Covid-19 is a different strand altogether and it is SARS-Cov-2 as told above. which is mor infetious and more risk to certain people.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *urekamanfor2Man
over a year ago

Shoreham

Obv my point is I had Covid and didn't even know, and I passed it onto the new gentleman.

So the odds aren't as low as fools think!

Myself and wife have both had it so anyone who shopped(just prior symptoms) in the same supermarket would have liked to have known .

So you both where tested??"

Yes both tested , wife was positive and mine was "undertermined"

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Correction. Not everyone who recovers are suffering signifant damage to their lungs. You need to get the wording right.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *hantelle-La-SlutTV/TS
over a year ago

South Birmingham

yup not even 0.1 % of the population have died from this deacese the number of total death in the uk between jan-april has not increased this year even with covid19 sad to say but if you look at the average for the last few year 150000 peoples die in the uk during those month.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

The issue with Covid-19 is that it's got a long incubation time, nearly 2 weeks. So there's a couple of days before you develop noticeable symptoms where you can spread it. So just because someone has no symptoms doesn't mean they're ok. Plus, there's rumors that it can reinfect people, same as it's possible to get the flu more than once.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

I’ve had it and was told was mild, well I certainly wouldn’t want it any worse if that was mild, was horrendous and I’ve never won the lottery

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

I felt ill in late March and suspected Covid19. Just a cough and a temperature, felt like a bad cold, but went away as quickly as it appeared. I was absolutely fine by day 8. Took 2 separate Antibody Tests and they both showed positive results.

Covid19 will soon be known as the biggest overreaction by governments all around the world.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"I felt ill in late March and suspected Covid19. Just a cough and a temperature, felt like a bad cold, but went away as quickly as it appeared. I was absolutely fine by day 8. Took 2 separate Antibody Tests and they both showed positive results.

Covid19 will soon be known as the biggest overreaction by governments all around the world. "

Which antibody tests mate as I asked for one but told none work

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *eddy and legs OP Couple
over a year ago

the wetlands

Covid19 will soon be known as the biggest overreaction by governments all around the world.

Which antibody tests mate as I asked for one but told none work"

They're much more likely to give a false negative than a false positive, that's the problem

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Covid19 will soon be known as the biggest overreaction by governments all around the world.

Which antibody tests mate as I asked for one but told none work

They're much more likely to give a false negative than a false positive, that's the problem"

No point in them yet then

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *urekamanfor2Man
over a year ago

Shoreham

Covid19 will soon be known as the biggest overreaction by governments all around the world. "

There is no anybody test in the UK

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *urekamanfor2Man
over a year ago

Shoreham

"yup not even 0.1 % of the population have died from this deacese the number of total death in the uk between jan-april has not increased this year even with covid19 sad to say but if you look at the average for the last few year 150000 peoples die in the uk during those month."

Dear oh dear , I assume Maths is not your subject?

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

[Removed by poster at 03/05/20 20:44:13]

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Covid19 will soon be known as the biggest overreaction by governments all around the world. "

Good for you only getting it mild... thankfully you did as serious infections kill it's as simple as that...

Here's a thought...take a virus that has no prevention..no cure..no actual treatment for the virus/illness..(only actually the symptoms)...make it as easy to catch as a common cold...(oh shit..it's the same viral family)..then what you got... Covid19...

Then add that to a population of 60million+(just in the UK) and an upto 2 week period in infected incubation period..and guess what... without prevention measures..lots more die..

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *eddy and legs OP Couple
over a year ago

the wetlands

Covid19 will soon be known as the biggest overreaction by governments all around the world.

There is no anybody test in the UK

There is but it gives too many false negatives. A false positive is less likely

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *asIsaCouple
over a year ago

harrow

"Lot of people say they've had it. But they were not tested. How do you know? You might have symptoms but how do you know it's Covid and not anything else?"

Exactly. Very dangerous thing to say they have had it when they haven't been tested positive! Still not testing many outside of hospital, NHS staff and some others so where people supposedly got tested in the last few weeks is quite baffling particularly when a symptomatic!

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *adame 2SwordsWoman
over a year ago

Victoria, London

Three family members have died from it in the last 6 weeks.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *asIsaCouple
over a year ago

harrow

Covid19 will soon be known as the biggest overreaction by governments all around the world.

Which antibody tests mate as I asked for one but told none work"

There are no reliable anti- body tests available yet ! Michael Gove said exactly that today and said it's some time off so not sure what test you took!

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *evaquitCouple
over a year ago

Catthorpe

"Three family members have died from it in the last 6 weeks."

I remember reading your Father died weeks back, so sorry to hear more of your family have suffered the same fate. I (he) worry about a few family members, obviously I don't know what it's like for you but do sympathise with your losses.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *eddy and legs OP Couple
over a year ago

the wetlands

Covid19 will soon be known as the biggest overreaction by governments all around the world.

Which antibody tests mate as I asked for one but told none work

There are no reliable anti- body tests available yet ! Michael Gove said exactly that today and said it's some time off so not sure what test you took!"

It seems Roche have just been awarded a contract for US anti body testing

There are dozens available but none with the possible exception of Roche are accurate. Time will tell

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Covid19 will soon be known as the biggest overreaction by governments all around the world.

Which antibody tests mate as I asked for one but told none work"

You can get them but they're a little pricey. I bought in bulk for my staff members, 20 tests for £500.

The tests are known to give a lot of false negatives though so you could have had it but still get a negative result. Always best to repeat a few times if you think you've had the virus.

The swab testing that they're pushing for now (100,000 tests a day target) is a bit pointless imo as the test is outdated as soon as you leave the area! Reliable antibody tests are the only way of controlling the virus and finding out the real mortality rate of it.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *andyMinx_tvTV/TS
over a year ago

Leeds

Dear oh dear , I assume Maths is not your subject? "

I'm not a mathematician but can someone explain how the R0 number can ever be less than a whole number? How can you infect 0.7 of a person? I know it's an average but the average must surely always be a whole number?

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Don't really think it's as catchy if at all like they make out.

At the local supermarket.

There is a security guard (I spoke to him)

He works 6 days a week.

8h a day

On the door letting people in.

Hes been there 6 weeks now.

All days standing right under that door blower they all have ..breathing in the recycled air.

I even pointed it out to him

And guess what ..not even a sniffle.

He must be really luck .

Or have that Charlie sheen tiger blood right?

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *ophieslutTV/TS
over a year ago

Central

I haven't got much data to hand. Odds of winning lottery, 1 in 14 million? 66 million people in the uk.

We need to know the rough numbers of people currently infectious. 25,000? Is that reasonable? Divide the population by numbers infected, so approximately 1 in every 2600 people is infectious based on my guestimate. If you were to be randomly matched with any 1 citizen, that's the probability of being able to be infected. Much easier odds to get it than winning the lottery.

In the real world, some infectious people will be out of circulation, due to poor health. You'd probably need to be very close to them for a good period of time, to improve odds of you getting it. And you would have to be free from earlier infection yourself, without immunity.

The key thing is that we don't know how many people are infectious. We have a few thousand in hospital and care homes, hence my guess we may have 25,000 people infectious right now. That number could be way out.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Based on current predictions of infection levels someone work it out

Less that the odds of winning the lottery this year ?

Assuming those with full symptoms will probably not be shopping or in a swingers club"

Odds of dying if you get Covid-19: between 1% and 4% - there is no known cure today.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

It is like shagging a complete stranger without a condom!

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Lovely how many posters are...

* Chances I might get it

* It was mild for me

This virus isn't about you or I, it's about we. All of us. Whilst individually the chances of catching it and or dying from it there are people who will be susceptible.

If you did have it or did meet someone who might have then make sure you protect the we... So you don't become a breeding factory for the bug

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Dear oh dear , I assume Maths is not your subject?

Eh, no

An example of 3 infected people to illustrate:

Person 1 infects 2 people

Persons 2 & 3 have managed not to pass it on.

R0 = 2/3 = 0.67 (Or 0.7 rounded up to one decimal place)

The goal of R0 less than 1 means that some people are not transmitting the infection to anyone else, the lower it gets the more this is happening.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Lovely how many posters are...

* Chances I might get it

* It was mild for me

This virus isn't about you or I, it's about we. All of us. Whilst individually the chances of catching it and or dying from it there are people who will be susceptible.

If you did have it or did meet someone who might have then make sure you protect the we... So you don't become a breeding factory for the bug

Such is the nature of western society, it encourages the culture of the self.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *naswingdressWoman
over a year ago

Manchester (she/her)

"Lovely how many posters are...

* Chances I might get it

* It was mild for me

This virus isn't about you or I, it's about we. All of us. Whilst individually the chances of catching it and or dying from it there are people who will be susceptible.

If you did have it or did meet someone who might have then make sure you protect the we... So you don't become a breeding factory for the bug

I think both questions are important, and certainly factor into my thinking.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *olly_chromaticTV/TS
over a year ago

Stockport

Funnily it's usually the same people who are saying both that

- it's was going around for months before January, i know dozens of people who already had it

- there's only one in a thousand got it, chances of me meeting anyone with it are millions to one

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *naswingdressWoman
over a year ago

Manchester (she/her)

"Funnily it's usually the same people who are saying both that

- it's was going around for months before January, i know dozens of people who already had it

- there's only one in a thousand got it, chances of me meeting anyone with it are millions to one"

I've noticed this too.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *asIsaCouple
over a year ago

harrow

Dear oh dear , I assume Maths is not your subject?

Eh, no

An example of 3 infected people to illustrate:

Person 1 infects 2 people

Persons 2 & 3 have managed not to pass it on.

R0 = 2/3 = 0.67 (Or 0.7 rounded up to one decimal place)

The goal of R0 less than 1 means that some people are not transmitting the infection to anyone else, the lower it gets the more this is happening. "

Doesn't it mean for example that 100 people will only pass it on to 35 on average?

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *litterbabeWoman
over a year ago

hiding from cock pics.

Dear oh dear , I assume Maths is not your subject?

Eh, no

An example of 3 infected people to illustrate:

Person 1 infects 2 people

Persons 2 & 3 have managed not to pass it on.

R0 = 2/3 = 0.67 (Or 0.7 rounded up to one decimal place)

The goal of R0 less than 1 means that some people are not transmitting the infection to anyone else, the lower it gets the more this is happening.

Doesn't it mean for example that 100 people will only pass it on to 35 on average?"

If r = 0.35, then I do believe it means that yes

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

J is NHS, one of her colleagues caught it having become symptomatic over a week after thinking she’d been exposed.

Two weeks on and only yesterday did she feel strong enough to venture out and she’s a properly fit young lady.

It’s up to you, but the risk for now seems higher than reasonable.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By *naswingdressWoman
over a year ago

Manchester (she/her)

Dear oh dear , I assume Maths is not your subject?

Eh, no

An example of 3 infected people to illustrate:

Person 1 infects 2 people

Persons 2 & 3 have managed not to pass it on.

R0 = 2/3 = 0.67 (Or 0.7 rounded up to one decimal place)

The goal of R0 less than 1 means that some people are not transmitting the infection to anyone else, the lower it gets the more this is happening.

Doesn't it mean for example that 100 people will only pass it on to 35 on average?

If r = 0.35, then I do believe it means that yes"

Yes, that's my understanding of the number too.

The number is able to be manipulated depending on what measures we take. So physical distancing brings the numbers down.

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Two risk is high of catching a corana virus

But if you take neccassary precautions then the risk is lower for it actually developing into the life threatening disease of corona virus - named covid 19

And what precautions are these ?

I've heard if you cough twice with a carrot up one nostril and a leek in the other whilst holding a 2 day out of date cabbage saying Carol Baskin backwards your immune forever

Reply privately

Reply in forum

Reply +quote

Post new Message to Thread