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"No lockdown, far lower infection and mortality rate than ours. What are we doing wrong?" It would be quicker to ask what we are doing right because there isn't much | |||
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"How are Netherlands getting on? Very densely populate if I recall" Not sure about their rates but had similar restrictions before we did | |||
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"How are Netherlands getting on? Very densely populated if I recall" The Netherlands has had 3601 deaths so far. That’s 210 deaths per 1 million population compared to the UK’s 228 per 1 million. | |||
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"I’m not sure it right to judge purely on infection rate. Sure it’s a guide but there a different factors Population of Sweden 10.5 million Population of UK 67.8 million More important the population density showsthere are 10 times the number of people per square km in the uk than Sweden, which in itself lessons the chances of infections Population density Sweden 24 people per square km Population density UK 281 people per square km Sweden largest city (population) stockholm 1.5m UK largest city (population) London 7.5 million Sweden second largest city Gothenburg 572,000 6 other uk cities(Birmingham, Liverpool, Nottingham, Sheffield, Bristol, Glasgow) are all bigger population wise Area of Sweden 158,433 square miles Area of UK 93,410 square miles So infections rates are bound to be more prevalent in the uk as we have almost 7 time’s the population of (approx) half the area of Sweden All info taken from worldomerers.info " Exactly this | |||
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"I’m not sure it right to judge purely on infection rate. Sure it’s a guide but there a different factors Population of Sweden 10.5 million Population of UK 67.8 million More important the population density showsthere are 10 times the number of people per square km in the uk than Sweden, which in itself lessons the chances of infections Population density Sweden 24 people per square km Population density UK 281 people per square km Sweden largest city (population) stockholm 1.5m UK largest city (population) London 7.5 million Sweden second largest city Gothenburg 572,000 6 other uk cities(Birmingham, Liverpool, Nottingham, Sheffield, Bristol, Glasgow) are all bigger population wise Area of Sweden 158,433 square miles Area of UK 93,410 square miles So infections rates are bound to be more prevalent in the uk as we have almost 7 time’s the population of (approx) half the area of Sweden All info taken from worldomerers.info " Tried to explain the above to someone comparing New Zealand to the UK. When I pointed out that New Zealand was roughly the same size as the UK but they had a population of 5m compared to our 70m (round numbers) theh couldn't see my point. | |||
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"Yes Sweden appears to fairing rather well through sensible measures. Japan is another country doing OK as well with sensible measures. " What makes you think Sweden is doing well?? | |||
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"Yes Sweden appears to fairing rather well through sensible measures. Japan is another country doing OK as well with sensible measures. What makes you think Sweden is doing well??" They might have been 30 weeks ago when the last post was made | |||
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"Yes Sweden appears to fairing rather well through sensible measures. Japan is another country doing OK as well with sensible measures. What makes you think Sweden is doing well?? They might have been 30 weeks ago when the last post was made " A long term view is needed | |||
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"At the peak of their first wave they had a 7 day rolling average of 98 deaths on the 17th April. They appear to have had a second wave this month when they registered 15 deaths on the 8th November which appears to be dropping now as their latest reported as 11. Fingers crossed for them." **".........They appear to have had a second wave this month...."** ----------------------------- They don't 'appear' to have had a second wave. Sweden is *Definitely* having a second wave just like the rest of western Europe - no difference. A Second Wave is measured by the rise in infections; and *not* by the number of deaths. Deaths don't precede infections; deaths come *after* infections. It can take weeks before the death figures go up after a rise in infections, so a current low death figure should not necessarily be seen as a good sign. And to show you that Sweden is indeed having a second wave, you only need to look at their daily infections: 5 September = 171 14 October = 970 28 October = 3,396 5 November = 4,746 13 November = 6,743 Due to the rise in infections (a Second Wave) the following have happened: - The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control has marked Sweden with an 'orange alert' -Local lockdowns have been introduced in the cities of Uppsala and Malmo - something they were reluctant to do in the first wave, but have introduced for the first time since the start of the pandemic. - Stricter restrictions have also been imposed in 17 of 21 regions by their Public Heath agency. - Sweden has now been removed from the UK's quarantine-free list Regarding the local lockdowns, Anders Tegnell Sweden's top epidemiologist said in a recent news conference : “This is the first time we are using this type of guidance and now we will see how effective we can make it.” Dr Johan Nojd, who leads the infectious diseases department in Uppsala (Sweden), also said: - that if contact tracing shows further links between activities and infections they will not hesitate to impose even tougher measures. And you think all these measures described above have come about just because of 11 deaths??? Certainly Not. These tough measures have been taken because Sweden is definitely experiencing a second wave; not 'appearing' to have on as you claim. Sweden has learnt lessons from its high death toll during the first wave ( the highest among the Nordics). They are not prepared to wait till the death toll runs into hundreds a day before they take action. They have switched from their laissez faire approach during the first wave. Now they are implementing local lockdowns and introducing tougher measures to control the virus - just like their Nordic neighbours have been doing from the get go. | |||
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"At the peak of their first wave they had a 7 day rolling average of 98 deaths on the 17th April. They appear to have had a second wave this month when they registered 15 deaths on the 8th November which appears to be dropping now as their latest reported as 11. Fingers crossed for them. **".........They appear to have had a second wave this month...."** ----------------------------- They don't 'appear' to have had a second wave. Sweden is *Definitely* having a second wave just like the rest of western Europe - no difference. A Second Wave is measured by the rise in infections; and *not* by the number of deaths. Deaths don't precede infections; deaths come *after* infections. It can take weeks before the death figures go up after a rise in infections, so a current low death figure should not necessarily be seen as a good sign. And to show you that Sweden is indeed having a second wave, you only need to look at their daily infections: 5 September = 171 14 October = 970 28 October = 3,396 5 November = 4,746 13 November = 6,743 Due to the rise in infections (a Second Wave) the following have happened: - The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control has marked Sweden with an 'orange alert' -Local lockdowns have been introduced in the cities of Uppsala and Malmo - something they were reluctant to do in the first wave, but have introduced for the first time since the start of the pandemic. - Stricter restrictions have also been imposed in 17 of 21 regions by their Public Heath agency. - Sweden has now been removed from the UK's quarantine-free list Regarding the local lockdowns, Anders Tegnell Sweden's top epidemiologist said in a recent news conference : “This is the first time we are using this type of guidance and now we will see how effective we can make it.” Dr Johan Nojd, who leads the infectious diseases department in Uppsala (Sweden), also said: - that if contact tracing shows further links between activities and infections they will not hesitate to impose even tougher measures. And you think all these measures described above have come about just because of 11 deaths??? Certainly Not. These tough measures have been taken because Sweden is definitely experiencing a second wave; not 'appearing' to have on as you claim. Sweden has learnt lessons from its high death toll during the first wave ( the highest among the Nordics). They are not prepared to wait till the death toll runs into hundreds a day before they take action. They have switched from their laissez faire approach during the first wave. Now they are implementing local lockdowns and introducing tougher measures to control the virus - just like their Nordic neighbours have been doing from the get go." I was quoting death numbers, but you knew that. | |||
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"At the peak of their first wave they had a 7 day rolling average of 98 deaths on the 17th April. They appear to have had a second wave this month when they registered 15 deaths on the 8th November which appears to be dropping now as their latest reported as 11. Fingers crossed for them. **".........They appear to have had a second wave this month...."** ----------------------------- They don't 'appear' to have had a second wave. Sweden is *Definitely* having a second wave just like the rest of western Europe - no difference. A Second Wave is measured by the rise in infections; and *not* by the number of deaths. Deaths don't precede infections; deaths come *after* infections. It can take weeks before the death figures go up after a rise in infections, so a current low death figure should not necessarily be seen as a good sign. And to show you that Sweden is indeed having a second wave, you only need to look at their daily infections: 5 September = 171 14 October = 970 28 October = 3,396 5 November = 4,746 13 November = 6,743 Due to the rise in infections (a Second Wave) the following have happened: - The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control has marked Sweden with an 'orange alert' -Local lockdowns have been introduced in the cities of Uppsala and Malmo - something they were reluctant to do in the first wave, but have introduced for the first time since the start of the pandemic. - Stricter restrictions have also been imposed in 17 of 21 regions by their Public Heath agency. - Sweden has now been removed from the UK's quarantine-free list Regarding the local lockdowns, Anders Tegnell Sweden's top epidemiologist said in a recent news conference : “This is the first time we are using this type of guidance and now we will see how effective we can make it.” Dr Johan Nojd, who leads the infectious diseases department in Uppsala (Sweden), also said: - that if contact tracing shows further links between activities and infections they will not hesitate to impose even tougher measures. And you think all these measures described above have come about just because of 11 deaths??? Certainly Not. These tough measures have been taken because Sweden is definitely experiencing a second wave; not 'appearing' to have on as you claim. Sweden has learnt lessons from its high death toll during the first wave ( the highest among the Nordics). They are not prepared to wait till the death toll runs into hundreds a day before they take action. They have switched from their laissez faire approach during the first wave. Now they are implementing local lockdowns and introducing tougher measures to control the virus - just like their Nordic neighbours have been doing from the get go. I was quoting death numbers, but you knew that. " Deaths are a lagging indicator.....their 7 day and 14 day rates of infection are still rising. Hospitalisations and deaths will increase too in the next 3 weeks or so | |||
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