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"This century was always going to belong to China.It was predicted in the 1970s. However I disagree that theyre ahead in nuclear technology and biotechnology.China can mass produce and copy but can it innovate?." Hard question to tackle. Some thoughts related to the general topic: In my opinion the Japanese are becoming at least as inventive as Westerners are - it's not visibly obvious just yet but there's quite a few hi tech products which mostly only exist in Korean or Japanese markets, and I keep seeing minor feats in Japan that I consider impressive - my suspicion is that their culture has become more similar to our culture in the Anglophone world a few decades ago. To see a place they are ahead of us look at their washlets, robotic toilets that don't require toilet paper. This is 80-90% of households in Korea and Japan. They could advance further again by incorporating medical tech into them, then they obviously would be way ahead of us. China - I just know less about so I don't know. We have to consider the option also that they may not need to be invent new things if their GDP is larger than the USA, they could simply absorb our smaller pockets of cleverness and extrapolate them faster than we can. Companies like Tencent could have Silicon Valley's breakfast in AI with the quantity of data (required for 'deep learning) they are able to gather from the population. | |||
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"Re nuclear in the UK. The history here is one of confused priorities - military needs mixed with civil needs and complicated by classic scientific meddling. Consequently, the designs Britain went for - lots of them, too many of them - were fudges, trying to serve competing priorities. None of them was a success commercially because economics was not the motivation. The Americans by contrast developed a very sharp focus - to develop the biggest, most economic reactor they could - and cornered the market with the PWR. The UK has no reactor industry left, only a huge liability to clean up the sites and waste generated by all the crazy R & D projects. The current Government refuses for ideological reasons to return to a state corporation responsible for developing nuclear energy, but is quite happy for the state-owned corporations of France and China to do so. The French government is the principal owner of every single nuclear power station in the UK, and soon they will be joined by the Chinese government." Agree with all of that. It's tragic the UK government was unable to keep the long view. These types of topics are never brought up much in popular media so the population loses sight of where they could be losing out, that's an aspect of our media I do not like and partially blame for what's happened. Nationalism is not without a blemished record but at least the competitive spirit in times past would have kept people thinking about these things. I regretfully come to the idea that maybe we weren't mature enough, maybe even as a species, to cope with the kind of power that exists in nuclear technology. It's the new invention of Fire and we've yet to rise to the challenge. Look at the euro project for fusion "We'll crack it in twenty years" which sounds a lot like a synonym for never. | |||
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"This century was always going to belong to China.It was predicted in the 1970s. However I disagree that theyre ahead in nuclear technology and biotechnology.China can mass produce and copy but can it innovate?. Hard question to tackle. Some thoughts related to the general topic: In my opinion the Japanese are becoming at least as inventive as Westerners are - it's not visibly obvious just yet but there's quite a few hi tech products which mostly only exist in Korean or Japanese markets, and I keep seeing minor feats in Japan that I consider impressive - my suspicion is that their culture has become more similar to our culture in the Anglophone world a few decades ago. To see a place they are ahead of us look at their washlets, robotic toilets that don't require toilet paper. This is 80-90% of households in Korea and Japan. They could advance further again by incorporating medical tech into them, then they obviously would be way ahead of us. China - I just know less about so I don't know. We have to consider the option also that they may not need to be invent new things if their GDP is larger than the USA, they could simply absorb our smaller pockets of cleverness and extrapolate them faster than we can. Companies like Tencent could have Silicon Valley's breakfast in AI with the quantity of data (required for 'deep learning) they are able to gather from the population." The Japanese are becoming as inventive? I think that's a rather Eurocentric view of the world. The level of technological and cultural innovation from there has been easily equivalent to the West for decades. We're just blind to it. China is rapidly catching up. They have required any company selling and manufacturing there to share technology. Their problem will be in the innovation required for consumer goods as free thinking poses a problem for a totalitarian state. | |||
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"Re nuclear in the UK. The history here is one of confused priorities - military needs mixed with civil needs and complicated by classic scientific meddling. Consequently, the designs Britain went for - lots of them, too many of them - were fudges, trying to serve competing priorities. None of them was a success commercially because economics was not the motivation. The Americans by contrast developed a very sharp focus - to develop the biggest, most economic reactor they could - and cornered the market with the PWR. The UK has no reactor industry left, only a huge liability to clean up the sites and waste generated by all the crazy R & D projects. The current Government refuses for ideological reasons to return to a state corporation responsible for developing nuclear energy, but is quite happy for the state-owned corporations of France and China to do so. The French government is the principal owner of every single nuclear power station in the UK, and soon they will be joined by the Chinese government. Agree with all of that. It's tragic the UK government was unable to keep the long view. These types of topics are never brought up much in popular media so the population loses sight of where they could be losing out, that's an aspect of our media I do not like and partially blame for what's happened. Nationalism is not without a blemished record but at least the competitive spirit in times past would have kept people thinking about these things. I regretfully come to the idea that maybe we weren't mature enough, maybe even as a species, to cope with the kind of power that exists in nuclear technology. It's the new invention of Fire and we've yet to rise to the challenge. Look at the euro project for fusion "We'll crack it in twenty years" which sounds a lot like a synonym for never." The UK nuclear strategy is, sadly, rooted in the Cold War. We chose the nuclear technology that we did because it produced waste material suitable for making nuclear weapons out of. The most efficient path for energy production was, and is, Thorium salt. Abundant raw material and catastrophic failure leads to the radioactive material solidifying not distributing into the environment. Even now we decided not to take that path... | |||
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"Wonder what investments in nuclear power Trump has. Someone will be making money out of it. " It's not nuclear power, it's nuclear weapons. | |||
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"This century was always going to belong to China.It was predicted in the 1970s. However I disagree that theyre ahead in nuclear technology and biotechnology.China can mass produce and copy but can it innovate?. Hard question to tackle. Some thoughts related to the general topic: In my opinion the Japanese are becoming at least as inventive as Westerners are - it's not visibly obvious just yet but there's quite a few hi tech products which mostly only exist in Korean or Japanese markets, and I keep seeing minor feats in Japan that I consider impressive - my suspicion is that their culture has become more similar to our culture in the Anglophone world a few decades ago. To see a place they are ahead of us look at their washlets, robotic toilets that don't require toilet paper. This is 80-90% of households in Korea and Japan. They could advance further again by incorporating medical tech into them, then they obviously would be way ahead of us. China - I just know less about so I don't know. We have to consider the option also that they may not need to be invent new things if their GDP is larger than the USA, they could simply absorb our smaller pockets of cleverness and extrapolate them faster than we can. Companies like Tencent could have Silicon Valley's breakfast in AI with the quantity of data (required for 'deep learning) they are able to gather from the population." The biggest problem from what Ive read is the company culture of Asian tech giants.They don't place the young bright things at the top they value an employee with lifetime of experience within the company over the strange kids with the crazy ideas. The Google's and Amazon's value the young bright things and give them whatever they want.Even if that means breaking traditions.Asians struggle with this. | |||
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"I've missed this, but isn't the future of space travel based on nuclear power also? So is it confirmed as an offensive ballistic missile test or a space vehicle test? Just being devils advocate. Know you have knowledge in this field Sara." There exist blueprints of designs with 50 year old nuclear tech that would put millions of tonnes into orbit. Freeman Dyson famously invented such a design - Project Orion. | |||
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