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"This could be a pivotal moment in politics. Burnham has a lot of support, but Starmer's minions will do everything they can to smear Burnham. Reform will be campaigning as hard as possible. The Tories will probably just sit back and watch. That splits the Labour vote, and leaves Reform as the obvious protest vote. If Reform win, Burnham will have given up his job for nothing, Starmer will be in a position where his party have lost a safe seat, and Reform will gain a lot of legitimacy and press coverage. It should be an interesting few weeks coming up. " I read Burnham doesn't have to give up being Mayor to stand as an MP although its hardly a vote of confidence if he doesn't. There's definitely no such thing as a safe Labour seat at the moment. | |||
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"Electoral Calculous are currently predicting a 3 horse race in the constituency at the moment with Green just Infront of Labour, reform in 3rd not too far behind , I think if Burnham did stand it could make some intending to vote Green move to Labour " if the NEC stop Andy B standing & then lose the seat with an unknown candidate it could be more damaging to the party than letting him run | |||
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"Electoral Calculous are currently predicting a 3 horse race in the constituency at the moment with Green just Infront of Labour, reform in 3rd not too far behind , I think if Burnham did stand it could make some intending to vote Green move to Labour if the NEC stop Andy B standing & then lose the seat with an unknown candidate it could be more damaging to the party than letting him run " My initial 'guess' is that if Burnham stand the Green vote will shift towards Labour , , if Burnham doesn't stand the Labour vote will shift towards Green ,, | |||
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" if the NEC stop Andy B standing & then lose the seat with an unknown candidate it could be more damaging to the party than letting him run " This, the optics etc .. | |||
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"Today’s headlines Starmer’s allies launch ‘Stop Andy Burnham’ campaign to block parliamentary return" In other words, politics.. | |||
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"It would appear that Labour have learnt nothing for the internecine warfare that destroyed the Tories. Repeatedly replacing prime minsters destroys any credibility. If you can’t select the right one in the first place then why does anyone think they should trust your choice next time round?" The problem is that the quality of MPs is generally poor so the choice is usually between bad and worse. | |||
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"It would appear that Labour have learnt nothing for the internecine warfare that destroyed the Tories. Repeatedly replacing prime minsters destroys any credibility. If you can’t select the right one in the first place then why does anyone think they should trust your choice next time round?" The problem I see with the labour party is the levels of of socialism it has within the party, the harder left they go the less likely to be accepted by the public. I anticipated a push by the hard left once the suit which is Starmer got the labour party into power. Trojan horse is the only way they can gain power, and will do all they can to topple this government for their own interests. | |||
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"Zack Polanski not currently an MP, he could well stand for the Greens." That's a good shout | |||
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" A friend of mine has known him since they were kids and says he's a great guy. I've never met him but I'm not a fan. Methinks 2026 will be a year of Labour and Tory infighting. Would love to see the tit whisperer, aka Zack from the Greens run. Having him in the HoC spouting his nonsense might open a few folks' eyes to just how demented he really is." Every year theres been a parliament theres been infighting, not only verbal lol.. The guy from the greens has some strange ideas, especially on defence.. | |||
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"Hopefully he goes for it, shouldn’t be too much bother on leadership with Starmer on 13% approval. " Why would you do it ? Two years as PM then an historic defeat. Better to stay as King of Manchester with all those kick backs, sorry commercial arrangement.🤣🤣 | |||
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" Would love to see the tit whisperer, aka Zack from the Greens run. Having him in the HoC spouting his nonsense might open a few folks' eyes to just how demented he really is." The statements he has already made about nuclear energy and nuclear weapons must be good enough to see the kind of clown that he is. But that didn't stop some labour voters to shift to his side. | |||
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"Odds on next Labour leader, Streeting 9/2, Rayner and Burnham 6-1." Streeting is the one that I think the wider country would be most likely to vote for because he is closest to the centre. I would assume he was the one least likely to get the party votes because he is closest to the centre. | |||
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"Odds on next Labour leader, Streeting 9/2, Rayner and Burnham 6-1. Streeting is the one that I think the wider country would be most likely to vote for because he is closest to the centre. I would assume he was the one least likely to get the party votes because he is closest to the centre." Yes, agree 100%. Bit like when they chose Ed Milliband over his brother. | |||
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"Odds on next Labour leader, Streeting 9/2, Rayner and Burnham 6-1. Streeting is the one that I think the wider country would be most likely to vote for because he is closest to the centre. I would assume he was the one least likely to get the party votes because he is closest to the centre." Agreed, i think Streeting would make a wonderful conservative MP too. | |||
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"Odds on next Labour leader, Streeting 9/2, Rayner and Burnham 6-1. Streeting is the one that I think the wider country would be most likely to vote for because he is closest to the centre. I would assume he was the one least likely to get the party votes because he is closest to the centre. Agreed, i think Streeting would make a wonderful conservative MP too." Then Reform afterwards | |||
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"Odds on next Labour leader, Streeting 9/2, Rayner and Burnham 6-1. Streeting is the one that I think the wider country would be most likely to vote for because he is closest to the centre. I would assume he was the one least likely to get the party votes because he is closest to the centre. Agreed, i think Streeting would make a wonderful conservative MP too. Then Reform afterwards | |||
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"Andy Burnham has announced that he is seeking permission to stand in the upcoming Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election." If Burnham was elected as an MP there would have to be new elections for Manchester Mayor, less than 2 years after last ones. Approx cost £5m ! | |||
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"He has just sealed the fate of the labour party for the next 13 years maybe more.. " I suspect this will be the last ever Labour Govt. | |||
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"He has just sealed the fate of the labour party for the next 13 years maybe more.. I suspect this will be the last ever Labour Govt." It could be a good thing. Hard left labour MP's masquerade under the banner of labour, if the labour party splits allowing centre left to be a real thing it could work in their favour. | |||
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"Andy Burnham blocked from byelection race by Labour ruling committee Decision likely to set off ferocious row between Keir Starmer loyalists and allies of Greater Manchester mayor says the guardian. This is Labour democracy. Enemy of the state more like " Wow ! | |||
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"Andy Burnham blocked from byelection race by Labour ruling committee Decision likely to set off ferocious row between Keir Starmer loyalists and allies of Greater Manchester mayor says the guardian. This is Labour democracy. Enemy of the state more like Wow ! " Yes it really is a WOW! moment. I really didn't think he would duck this one, it's Labour self harming on a biblical scale. The only thing it shows is that Starmer is scared shitless of any kind of opposing vote. Whether that be the electorate in 30 local councils or his own party. Kemi will have a field day with this one come Wednesday. | |||
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"Andy Burnham blocked from byelection race by Labour ruling committee Decision likely to set off ferocious row between Keir Starmer loyalists and allies of Greater Manchester mayor says the guardian. This is Labour democracy. Enemy of the state more like Wow ! Yes it really is a WOW! moment. I really didn't think he would duck this one, it's Labour self harming on a biblical scale. The only thing it shows is that Starmer is scared shitless of any kind of opposing vote. Whether that be the electorate in 30 local councils or his own party. Kemi will have a field day with this one come Wednesday." To be fair to Starmer the Labour rules do say Mayors should not stand down to contest Parliamentary seats, which is why they need NEC permission to do so, and Burnham said 2 years ago that he'd serve a full term. But it does look like a tactical mistake and another sign of weakness from Sir Kier. Its very difficult to see him surviving 2026 as PM. | |||
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"That seat is much more likely to go to reform now. What a crazy act of self harm from Starmer." Not really sure about that , the latest poll I saw for The Seat had Green slightly Infront of Labour and reform , so this could lead to some intending to vote Labour switching to Green , especially if as suggested by someone earlier in the thread that Polanski may decide to stand , something he is now probably more likely to do now that Burnham won't be contesting the seat | |||
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"8 to 1 vote against Burnham - Starmer voted no. What a bunch of spineless self serving drones." I think it was the correct decision from a party perspective. There is no doubt he would have split the party and infighting would have destroyed them. I also think it is the one decision Starmer wont u-turn on either | |||
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"I’d do him." I suspect you’d have a better chance with Starmer, though you might be too old for him. Can you do an Eastern European accent, that might help? | |||
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"I think Labour were screwed whatever decision they took. Deny him the chance and they look like they are running scared. Give him the chance and then they are open to serious questions about how they can just jettison the Manchester mayoralty and commit to spending more money on an election when they are allowing other councils to avoid them. Personally I think it reflects poorly on Burnham. He gave his word about staying the course on the mayoral position and then wants to jump at the first chance. Basically he just has stuck two fingers up to Manchester." Very fair assessment. | |||
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"Saving money innit.. If Biden stood that really would be a WOW moment! | |||
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"Saving money innit.. Oops | |||
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"I think Labour were screwed whatever decision they took. Deny him the chance and they look like they are running scared. Give him the chance and then they are open to serious questions about how they can just jettison the Manchester mayoralty and commit to spending more money on an election when they are allowing other councils to avoid them. Personally I think it reflects poorly on Burnham. He gave his word about staying the course on the mayoral position and then wants to jump at the first chance. Basically he just has stuck two fingers up to Manchester. Very fair assessment." does he after give up being mayor I've not seen anything yet that says he couldn't do both. | |||
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"I think it's within this week's Labour Party rules that states that he cannot simultaneously hold the role of Mayor and MP. However, tomorrow's another day. " thanks for clearing that up now makes sense | |||
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"I think Labour were screwed whatever decision they took. Deny him the chance and they look like they are running scared. Give him the chance and then they are open to serious questions about how they can just jettison the Manchester mayoralty and commit to spending more money on an election when they are allowing other councils to avoid them. Personally I think it reflects poorly on Burnham. He gave his word about staying the course on the mayoral position and then wants to jump at the first chance. Basically he just has stuck two fingers up to Manchester. Very fair assessment.does he after give up being mayor I've not seen anything yet that says he couldn't do both." I was under the impression that being an MP or a Mayor of a major city were full time jobs. Certainly many MPs complain about the workload so it is difficult to see how either would get the attention needed if someone were to do both. | |||
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"Maybe Burnham knew all along he'd fail to be selected ? He's damaged Starmer while keeping his safe job in Manchester, and young enough to try again for the leadership in 2028 or 2029." That's true enough and a reasonable calculation given costs is one of the reasons local elections are being cancelled. A mayor election would not be cheap so maybe he expected to be refused, as you say. I don't think he has got away Scott free though as others will point to his promises to serve a full term as the mayor. Starmers problem will be if the greens or others now win the by election as once again it will be bad optics | |||
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"Maybe Burnham knew all along he'd fail to be selected ? He's damaged Starmer while keeping his safe job in Manchester, and young enough to try again for the leadership in 2028 or 2029. That's true enough and a reasonable calculation given costs is one of the reasons local elections are being cancelled. A mayor election would not be cheap so maybe he expected to be refused, as you say. I don't think he has got away Scott free though as others will point to his promises to serve a full term as the mayor. Starmers problem will be if the greens or others now win the by election as once again it will be bad optics " Unfortunately Starmer has got himself in a position where almost everything he does turns out badly. It must be exhausting for him on a personal level, he just has no talent for leadership. | |||
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"Maybe Burnham knew all along he'd fail to be selected ? He's damaged Starmer while keeping his safe job in Manchester, and young enough to try again for the leadership in 2028 or 2029. That's true enough and a reasonable calculation given costs is one of the reasons local elections are being cancelled. A mayor election would not be cheap so maybe he expected to be refused, as you say. I don't think he has got away Scott free though as others will point to his promises to serve a full term as the mayor. Starmers problem will be if the greens or others now win the by election as once again it will be bad optics Unfortunately Starmer has got himself in a position where almost everything he does turns out badly. It must be exhausting for him on a personal level, he just has no talent for leadership." Starmer aspires to socialism and with that comes committee and the committee is loaded against him. | |||
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"Maybe Burnham knew all along he'd fail to be selected ? He's damaged Starmer while keeping his safe job in Manchester, and young enough to try again for the leadership in 2028 or 2029. That's true enough and a reasonable calculation given costs is one of the reasons local elections are being cancelled. A mayor election would not be cheap so maybe he expected to be refused, as you say. I don't think he has got away Scott free though as others will point to his promises to serve a full term as the mayor. Starmers problem will be if the greens or others now win the by election as once again it will be bad optics Unfortunately Starmer has got himself in a position where almost everything he does turns out badly. It must be exhausting for him on a personal level, he just has no talent for leadership. Starmer aspires to socialism and with that comes committee and the committee is loaded against him." Very good point! | |||
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"Maybe Burnham knew all along he'd fail to be selected ? He's damaged Starmer while keeping his safe job in Manchester, and young enough to try again for the leadership in 2028 or 2029. That's true enough and a reasonable calculation given costs is one of the reasons local elections are being cancelled. A mayor election would not be cheap so maybe he expected to be refused, as you say. I don't think he has got away Scott free though as others will point to his promises to serve a full term as the mayor. Starmers problem will be if the greens or others now win the by election as once again it will be bad optics Unfortunately Starmer has got himself in a position where almost everything he does turns out badly. It must be exhausting for him on a personal level, he just has no talent for leadership." I wouldn't trust him to run a bath! | |||
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"Burnham on X: 'The fact that the media was informed of the NEC decision before I was tells you everything you need to know about the way the Labour Party is being run these days. You would think that over 30 years of service would count for something but sadly not.' 🍿 🍿 🍿 " Clearly he's frustrated but its at odds with his earlier comment about wanting to do what's best for the party or however it was worded.. And there'll be a few and some of his supporters who will raise an eyebrow, the NEC will be thinking they made the right decision.. | |||
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"Burnham on X: 'The fact that the media was informed of the NEC decision before I was tells you everything you need to know about the way the Labour Party is being run these days. You would think that over 30 years of service would count for something but sadly not.' 🍿 🍿 🍿 Clearly he's frustrated but its at odds with his earlier comment about wanting to do what's best for the party or however it was worded.. And there'll be a few and some of his supporters who will raise an eyebrow, the NEC will be thinking they made the right decision.. " Possibly, but Starmer has now made another powerful enemy. Raynor, Burnham, Mandelsohn, Streeting all against him with plenty of allies. He is absolutely doomed as PM. | |||
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"Burnham on X: 'The fact that the media was informed of the NEC decision before I was tells you everything you need to know about the way the Labour Party is being run these days. You would think that over 30 years of service would count for something but sadly not.' 🍿 🍿 🍿 Clearly he's frustrated but its at odds with his earlier comment about wanting to do what's best for the party or however it was worded.. And there'll be a few and some of his supporters who will raise an eyebrow, the NEC will be thinking they made the right decision.. Possibly, but Starmer has now made another powerful enemy. Raynor, Burnham, Mandelsohn, Streeting all against him with plenty of allies. He is absolutely doomed as PM." My dear chap.. | |||
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"Burnham on X: 'The fact that the media was informed of the NEC decision before I was tells you everything you need to know about the way the Labour Party is being run these days. You would think that over 30 years of service would count for something but sadly not.' 🍿 🍿 🍿 Clearly he's frustrated but its at odds with his earlier comment about wanting to do what's best for the party or however it was worded.. And there'll be a few and some of his supporters who will raise an eyebrow, the NEC will be thinking they made the right decision.. Possibly, but Starmer has now made another powerful enemy. Raynor, Burnham, Mandelsohn, Streeting all against him with plenty of allies. He is absolutely doomed as PM. My dear chap.. I honestly think there's more chance of seeing you and Fabio in MAGA baseball caps than Starmer lasting the year as PM ! 🤣 | |||
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"Odds on next Labour leader, Streeting 9/2, Rayner and Burnham 6-1. Streeting is the one that I think the wider country would be most likely to vote for because he is closest to the centre. I would assume he was the one least likely to get the party votes because he is closest to the centre. Agreed, i think Streeting would make a wonderful conservative MP too." A gay man who’s Christian with a husband… is the UK ready for him as their PM? | |||
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"Matt Goodwin of course" I’d do him. | |||
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"Stories that he's going to stand as an MP in by election with view, presumably, to challenging Sir Keir for leadership this year. Any opinion or experience of him ? I'm not sure he's as well known or popular as he seems to believe." Like Tony Blair on speed | |||
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