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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout." Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime. | |||
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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout. Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime." It would do the most economic damage to Iran, and curb it's military aggression. Maybe even regime change. But the collateral cost would be high for the world in economic terms. | |||
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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout. Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime. It would do the most economic damage to Iran, and curb it's military aggression. Maybe even regime change. But the collateral cost would be high for the world in economic terms." You could be right, but it would only be as a much broader attack, with more emphasis on anti aircraft and nuclear facilities. Regime change is 100% the goal. Israel wants Iranian hearts and minds, to the extent possible under the circumstances. The regime change is only possibly from within. | |||
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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout. Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime." Not convinced it will be limited and any retaliation will be quickly dispatched. The USA sent three more fighter squadrons last week, making four plus a carrier. | |||
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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout. Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime. It would do the most economic damage to Iran, and curb it's military aggression. Maybe even regime change. But the collateral cost would be high for the world in economic terms." Global price shock is why I think this would be off the table, China being the number 1 trader in Iran's oil. | |||
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"Probably hit Iran's oil storage and refining infrastructure, and push the world into yet another oil crisis with all the attendant economic fallout. Would that have any real military purpose? It's unlikely Israel would squander limited strike opportunity unless it were to properly unsettle the regime. Not convinced it will be limited and any retaliation will be quickly dispatched. The USA sent three more fighter squadrons last week, making four plus a carrier. " https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/10/lasting-israel-palestine-peace-will-not-be-possible-without-new-policy-neutralize-iranian This is one pragmatic perspective on the possibilities for peace in the Middle East, should it be possible to remove Iranian originated threats. Spoiler: it's not all peace and love. | |||
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"...toilet roll factories all at the same time. " (1) That's really low. Outside of the Middle East, that would be a real war crime; but... (2) That would make little impact in a country where everyone has a bidet, or similar. | |||
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