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"I think even with the vote of no confidence, he would probably keep his job, because I think getting to 54 to have no confidence is easy, the hard part is getting over half the tories MP’s to vote him out. Watch this space. It happened with TM, also it will prevent another vote of no confidence for 12 months. So the choice is this, send the letters now, he retains his job, or wait three months to see how he does in the local elections then vote of no confidence, by that time he would be at his most exposed, then they can get him out and say, well because of his poor performance we are now justified at kicking him out of no. 10. Only the shrewdest of MP’s will think that." Without the cabinet backing either way, history tells us that nothing will happen | |||
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"I think even with the vote of no confidence, he would probably keep his job, because I think getting to 54 to have no confidence is easy, the hard part is getting over half the tories MP’s to vote him out. Watch this space. It happened with TM, also it will prevent another vote of no confidence for 12 months. So the choice is this, send the letters now, he retains his job, or wait three months to see how he does in the local elections then vote of no confidence, by that time he would be at his most exposed, then they can get him out and say, well because of his poor performance we are now justified at kicking him out of no. 10. Only the shrewdest of MP’s will think that. Without the cabinet backing either way, history tells us that nothing will happen" Good point, cabinet backing is important, and currently it’s they are just waiting, except for nadine I think her mind is already made up. | |||
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