FabSwingers.com forum: fabio presents ... the 2020 US Election results thread.. Lounge forum edition

By *abio OP Man
over a year ago

Newcastle and Gateshead

okay.... its tradition that i do this... i have done it for the last 2 elections.....

all that i ask is that a mod keep this thread in this forum for the next 24-36 hrs... because at least that way you can keep it all to one lounge thread..

I would also ask that if you are going to reply in this thread to keep the comments light....

we also use this as a US election "ask me anything".... so if you have questions or not understanding, hit me up here... i promise i'll be here till probably 3-4am

basically since it is going to be on all the different channels tonight, think of this as your cheat sheet so you know what to look out for... I promise to keep it at simple as possible....

winner needs to get to 270 electorial college votes, but really you only need to keep a true eye on 10 states...lets call these states "the trump 10!".. the 10 states the trump has to defend if he has a chance of winning again!

Biden will win the election if he wins any 3 from: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina , Iowa or Ohio

or......Florida and 1 of the above!

or......Texas! (aka the promised land of all democrats)

so.... we are likely to know what happens quickly if..... biden win Florida (midnight close), or Georgia (midnight), or Ohio or North Carolina (both 12.30am)

if biden wins any of those.. the election is likely done! if trump survives those 4....then we move onto Iowa (1am) Texas (1am) and Arizona (2am)... again you may get results quickly... again in reality trump will need to win them all!

if he gets this far.... go to bed!!!! nothing is likely to be decided tonight!

then we come to the blue wall... pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin! michigan and wisconsin don't start counting mail in and early voting till AFTER polls close, some counties in pennsylvania won't start counting mail in till tomorrow morning!

michigan and wisconsin both say they are likely to have a result by wednesday night.... pennsylvania say they may not have a result till friday!

there is your cheat sheet.... play nice!!!

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

I’ve always assumed the silent majority will vote Trump in for another 4 years

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By *ce WingerMan
over a year ago

P.O. Box DE1 0NQ

Clear as mud Mr T

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Its not running as a lot of polls predicted . Its going to be much closer .

My fear is a certain candidate will declare a win early or worse say that there is vote rigging going on. That will devide the US even more and cause protests .

I don't think we will have a clearer picture till at least thursday .

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

As of 05:40am

Biden 215

Trump 136

270 yet to be decided

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By *abio OP Man
over a year ago

Newcastle and Gateshead

basically.... as of 5.45am everything has held serve.....

of the 10 i have mentioned.....

Trump holds Ohio, Florida and iowa Likely to hold Texas

Closer in North Carolina, trump leaning

georgia is a toss up!

looks like Arizona will be the first state going to flip to biden!! and looks like its going to win wisconsin and michigan....

Arizona, michigan and wisconsin gets biden to 269..... winner needs 270!

keep an eye on Nebraska... because they do there votes by district.... "nebraska 2" looks like it is leaning biden! that would get him the 1 vote he needs to get to 270!

basically Arizona win would give biden more paths to victory!

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By *ultry SuccubusTV/TS
over a year ago

London

"basically.... as of 5.45am everything has held serve.....

of the 10 i have mentioned.....

Trump holds Ohio, Florida and iowa Likely to hold Texas

Closer in North Carolina, trump leaning

georgia is a toss up!

looks like Arizona will be the first state going to flip to biden!! and looks like its going to win wisconsin and michigan....

Arizona, michigan and wisconsin gets biden to 269..... winner needs 270!

keep an eye on Nebraska... because they do there votes by district.... "nebraska 2" looks like it is leaning biden! that would get him the 1 vote he needs to get to 270!

basically Arizona win would give biden more paths to victory!

You are very optimistic on Michigan and Wisconsin Fabio.

I'm not.

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

I'll check back on this thread in a month and see how it's going.

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By *rbane PlayerMan
over a year ago

London

"okay.... its tradition that i do this... i have done it for the last 2 elections.....

all that i ask is that a mod keep this thread in this forum for the next 24-36 hrs... because at least that way you can keep it all to one lounge thread..

I would also ask that if you are going to reply in this thread to keep the comments light....

we also use this as a US election "ask me anything".... so if you have questions or not understanding, hit me up here... i promise i'll be here till probably 3-4am

basically since it is going to be on all the different channels tonight, think of this as your cheat sheet so you know what to look out for... I promise to keep it at simple as possible....

Biden will win the election if he wins any 3 from: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina , Iowa or Ohio

or......Florida and 1 of the above!

or......Texas! (aka the promised land of all democrats)

so.... we are likely to know what happens quickly if..... biden win Florida (midnight close), or Georgia (midnight), or Ohio or North Carolina (both 12.30am)

if he gets this far.... go to bed!!!! nothing is likely to be decided tonight!

michigan and wisconsin both say they are likely to have a result by wednesday night.... pennsylvania say they may not have a result till friday!

there is your cheat sheet.... play nice!!!"

Thank you for the explanation, it has been difficult knowing what factors determine the election

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By *abio OP Man
over a year ago

Newcastle and Gateshead

You are very optimistic on Michigan and Wisconsin Fabio.

I'm not. "

having gone to university in michigan i am...

basically the stuff that is missing from the vote count missing is a lot of the votes and around detroit and grand rapids and they are likely to be heavily democratic

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

My boyfriend has stayed up all night watching it! Ive been up with him too. Hes actually got me interested in it.

It seems so close! Is it still too close to call?

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By *ultry SuccubusTV/TS
over a year ago

London

You are very optimistic on Michigan and Wisconsin Fabio.

I'm not.

having gone to university in michigan i am...

basically the stuff that is missing from the vote count missing is a lot of the votes and around detroit and grand rapids and they are likely to be heavily democratic"

Hope you're right.

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By *pursChick aka ShortieWoman
over a year ago

On a mooch

It seems a sea of red at the moment

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By *emini ManMan
over a year ago

There and to the left a bit

A lot closer than people would have thought/hoped - and it's not going to be without it's twists and turns in the hours, days, weeks ahead

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By *naswingdressWoman
over a year ago

Manchester (she/her)

The world holds its breath

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By *iss_tressWoman
over a year ago

London

"I’ve always assumed the silent majority will vote Trump in for another 4 years"

Me too.

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Its not running as a lot of polls predicted . Its going to be much closer .

My fear is a certain candidate will declare a win early or worse say that there is vote rigging going on. That will devide the US even more and cause protests .

I don't think we will have a clearer picture till at least thursday . "

Well called sir!

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

You are very optimistic on Michigan and Wisconsin Fabio.

I'm not.

having gone to university in michigan i am...

basically the stuff that is missing from the vote count missing is a lot of the votes and around detroit and grand rapids and they are likely to be heavily democratic"

Do you mean they haven't counted them yet or they have literally gone missing?

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Its not running as a lot of polls predicted . Its going to be much closer .

My fear is a certain candidate will declare a win early or worse say that there is vote rigging going on. That will devide the US even more and cause protests .

I don't think we will have a clearer picture till at least thursday . "

Twitter have already blocked at least one of his tweets.

His smug face makes me feel sick.

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By *heBirminghamWeekendMan
over a year ago

here

With only 10% left to count in some states, why have they stopped?

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By *hilloutMan
over a year ago

All over the place! Northwesr, , Southwest

MAGA 2020

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By *abio OP Man
over a year ago

Newcastle and Gateshead

You are very optimistic on Michigan and Wisconsin Fabio.

I'm not.

having gone to university in michigan i am...

basically the stuff that is missing from the vote count missing is a lot of the votes and around detroit and grand rapids and they are likely to be heavily democratic

Do you mean they haven't counted them yet or they have literally gone missing? "

it means they haven't counted them yet.... they are all likely to be mail in voting so the can just start the count up in the morning.....

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By *naswingdressWoman
over a year ago

Manchester (she/her)

You are very optimistic on Michigan and Wisconsin Fabio.

I'm not.

having gone to university in michigan i am...

basically the stuff that is missing from the vote count missing is a lot of the votes and around detroit and grand rapids and they are likely to be heavily democratic

Do you mean they haven't counted them yet or they have literally gone missing?

it means they haven't counted them yet.... they are all likely to be mail in voting so the can just start the count up in the morning....."

I was shocked watching my first UK election how quickly it was all counted. I expect that the US is always more like Australia, slower to count.

Although the stuff being thrown around about electoral fraud/ voter suppression etc for awhile makes me nervous.

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Well from the counted votes it looks like we have the orange guy for president again.

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By *abio OP Man
over a year ago

Newcastle and Gateshead

"Well from the counted votes it looks like we have the orange guy for president again."

not so fast my friend.........

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By *naswingdressWoman
over a year ago

Manchester (she/her)

"Well from the counted votes it looks like we have the orange guy for president again.

not so fast my friend.........

AP has called Arizona for Biden

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Trump has spent a lot of time stacking the high court with GOP-sympathetic judges, knowing that he was going to contest this election regardless.

What the American people really needed was a clear, decisive result to leave things in no doubt.

Not going to happen now...

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By *naswingdressWoman
over a year ago

Manchester (she/her)

Antony Green doesn't know.

Fuck

(Australian electoral oracle)

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Why is Trump so pissed off about postal votes? Surely people voting by post are just as likely to vote for either of them.

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Why is Trump so pissed off about postal votes? Surely people voting by post are just as likely to vote for either of them.

"
.

As far as I know postal voters more likely to be for democrats,for some reason,perhaps Fabio knows why this should be!

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Why is Trump so pissed off about postal votes? Surely people voting by post are just as likely to vote for either of them.

As far as I know postal voters more likely to be for democrats,for some reason,perhaps Fabio knows why this should be!"

Trump voters struggle to read and write so much easier to turn up at the polling station and stick their "x" in the box without the confusion of having to use an envelope.

Joking aside... surely COVID has a lot to do with the postal vote? With Biden taking the sensible option of campaigning whilst adhering to distancing guidelines etc it would make sense that Democrats use the postal system more. Trump was more than happy to put the American population at risk by holding mass rallies and seems like his tactic was to get the Republicans out to the polling stations and while they're at it, try and disrupt anything Biden related (we've all seen the intimidation tactics from Trumpites when Biden was doing his canvassing.

Feel free to put me right Fabio if I'm spouting bollocks though

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"Why is Trump so pissed off about postal votes? Surely people voting by post are just as likely to vote for either of them.

As far as I know postal voters more likely to be for democrats,for some reason,perhaps Fabio knows why this should be!

** Trump voters struggle to read and write so much easier to turn up at the polling station and stick their "x" in the box without the confusion of having to use an envelope.

Feel free to put me right Fabio if I'm spouting bollocks though

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