FabSwingers.com forum: 3 envelopes, 1 prize

By (user no longer on site) OP
over a year ago

There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?

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By *ce WingerMan
over a year ago

P.O. Box DE1 0NQ

Are you Noel Edmond's banker?

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Mind blown at 04:58 am

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By *ertsguy2000Man
over a year ago

hertford

I’d open mine and if it’s not in there then I’d kick you in the bollocks and nick yours

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?"

.33 with my box

.66 with your box

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?

.33 with my box

.66 with your box

Bingo that’s the answer!

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By *eesideMan
over a year ago

margate sumwear by the sea

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?"

3 envelopes

-1 empty envelopes

= 2 envelopes

1 with 1p

1 with 1 million pounds

So its 50/50 chance.

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By *eesideMan
over a year ago

margate sumwear by the sea

"Are you Noel Edmond's banker? "

Lol

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?

.33 with my box

.66 with your box

Bingo that’s the answer!"
I like bingo . ive got my own Dabber and everything

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By *eesideMan
over a year ago

margate sumwear by the sea

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?

3 envelopes

-1 empty envelopes

= 2 envelopes

1 with 1p

1 with 1 million pounds

So its 50/50 chance.

Unles the envelope with the 1p in it aksharley had a loos penny in it then id just shak eatch envelope to see witch 1 rattled.

And as you open the envelope with nuthing it meens i got a 100% chance of haveing the 1 million pounds.

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?

3 envelopes

-1 empty envelopes

= 2 envelopes

1 with 1p

1 with 1 million pounds

So its 50/50 chance.

Unles the envelope with the 1p in it aksharley had a loos penny in it then id just shak eatch envelope to see witch 1 rattled.

And as you open the envelope with nuthing it meens i got a 100% chance of haveing the 1 million pounds.

"
Thats cheating

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By *eesideMan
over a year ago

margate sumwear by the sea

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?

3 envelopes

-1 empty envelopes

= 2 envelopes

1 with 1p

1 with 1 million pounds

So its 50/50 chance.

Unles the envelope with the 1p in it aksharley had a loos penny in it then id just shak eatch envelope to see witch 1 rattled.

And as you open the envelope with nuthing it meens i got a 100% chance of haveing the 1 million pounds.

Thats cheating

Op didn't say you coodount

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?

3 envelopes

-1 empty envelopes

= 2 envelopes

1 with 1p

1 with 1 million pounds

So its 50/50 chance.

Unles the envelope with the 1p in it aksharley had a loos penny in it then id just shak eatch envelope to see witch 1 rattled.

And as you open the envelope with nuthing it meens i got a 100% chance of haveing the 1 million pounds.

Thats cheating

Op didn't say you coodount

"
Thats true mate

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By *eesideMan
over a year ago

margate sumwear by the sea

[Removed by poster at 28/04/18 06:04:10]

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By *eesideMan
over a year ago

margate sumwear by the sea

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?

3 envelopes

-1 empty envelopes

= 2 envelopes

1 with 1p

1 with 1 million pounds

So its 50/50 chance.

Unles the envelope with the 1p in it aksharley had a loos penny in it then id just shak eatch envelope to see witch 1 rattled.

And as you open the envelope with nuthing it meens i got a 100% chance of haveing the 1 million pounds.

Thats cheating

Op didn't say you coodount

Thats true mate

Op didn't say if the 1 million is a chek or cash eather. If it's in cash then it wood be even easyarr as you just pik the 1 that's stuffed with cash

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?

3 envelopes

-1 empty envelopes

= 2 envelopes

1 with 1p

1 with 1 million pounds

So its 50/50 chance.

Unles the envelope with the 1p in it aksharley had a loos penny in it then id just shak eatch envelope to see witch 1 rattled.

And as you open the envelope with nuthing it meens i got a 100% chance of haveing the 1 million pounds.

Thats cheating

Op didn't say you coodount

Thats true mate

Op didn't say if the 1 million is a chek or cash eather. If it's in cash then it wood be evev easyarr as you just pik the 1 that's stuffed with cash

"
Theres no flies on you mate . you are gauranteed to win me thinks

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By *eesideMan
over a year ago

margate sumwear by the sea

"There are 3 envelopes.

1 contains 1 million pounds

1 contains nothing

1 contains a single penny

You are given a choice to pick 1 envelope. After you've picked an envelope, I reveal one of the other 2 envelopes, it contains nothing.

I now give you a choice whether you want to switch or stay with your envelope.

My question is what are your chances of winning 1 million pounds with YOUR envelope, and what are the chances of winning it with MINE?

3 envelopes

-1 empty envelopes

= 2 envelopes

1 with 1p

1 with 1 million pounds

So its 50/50 chance.

Unles the envelope with the 1p in it aksharley had a loos penny in it then id just shak eatch envelope to see witch 1 rattled.

And as you open the envelope with nuthing it meens i got a 100% chance of haveing the 1 million pounds.

Thats cheating

Op didn't say you coodount

Thats true mate

Op didn't say if the 1 million is a chek or cash eather. If it's in cash then it wood be even easyarr as you just pik the 1 that's stuffed with cash

Theres no flies on you mate . you are gauranteed to win me thinks

Lol Just thinking outside the box as i normally do

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Well if I stick to my first choice, my chances remain exactly the same that they were at the beginning of the game.

At the beginning I had 1 in 3 chance to win the million. So approximatevily 33 % to win the million.

There were three envelopes. I have picked one and you removed one containing nothing. So technically my 33 % chances of winning the million hasn't changed at all. I am still with the choice I have made in the begining.

So, if I stick with my envelop my chances are still 1in3, 33% to get the million. But if I choose to switch my envelope with yours I raise my chances by twice, 2in3 chance, approximatively 66 %, of winning the million.

The problem was solved by one of the smartest woman in the world... Can't remember her name but think it was Marylin or something like similar.

I came across that problem in my study.

A lot of fragile male scientists, at that time, were outraged at her findings haha they wrote her letters insulting her... Then when they realised that she was actually right, few apologied.

Nothing has changed really.

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By (user no longer on site) OP
over a year ago

Correct, DirtyPrettyThings the answer is indeed 33/66

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By *ubiousOatcakeMan
over a year ago

Aberdeenshire

It’s called ‘the Monty Hall problem’.

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

[Removed by poster at 28/04/18 12:56:15]

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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago

Just watch the movie 21 you will know what to do

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