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By (user no longer on site)
over a year ago
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I'm still reeling from the stark conclusions of Saul Griffiths " Climate Change Revisited.
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Well all he's doing is the sums and coming up with the same conclusions that people like guy McPherson was called an "alarmist whacko" for 12 years ago!.
The science over the last 5 to 10 years is coming to conclusions that were just not going to get away with it anymore, that 2 degrees is now a given in no more than ..15 years, could be 10!.
The IPCC themselves a conservative body has stated in their last report, it's now irreversible without massive Geo engineering, there models that got slagged off as rubbish have been proven to be way too conservative, things it was predicting in 2050 have already been observed this year and the IPCC have cut this 2100 year from the card, that alone was political nonsense, that they and the UN and the EU and the world bank, there latest reports are now 2050 to see the worst of the change, I mean it's not our grandkids or our children that's going to deal with it anymore it's anybody under 35(which coincidentally is the age you'd need to be over to have seen any month that got below average global temperatures).
So no, we can't fix it!, it's coming, were only starting to see it's impacts in refugees and water shortages, crop yields, high impact storms and it's going to get a whole lot worse over the next ten years for about 800 million people.
By the numbers
3.5 billon people live within 150 miles of the coast.
1.2 billon people are food insecure, that means they spend over 50% of their weekly wage on just food, a doubling of cost of base food like wheat, barley, soya would see them stave.
The world's biggest grain/crop areas are in the large interior of the continents, there all predicted to be the worse hit and over 40% are already either in a drought or are showing signs of long term drought, these include Texas, California, Western Australia, Ukraine, southern Russia.
35% of the world's aquifers are dropping below 30% remaining, the Yemens main problem is it's entire gdp is growing stuff and they have emptied their only aquifer, there water table has dropped to 190 feet, there not alone China has seen rice yields drop for first time in years as they also have depleted several aquifers and water is kinda essential for rice!.
400 and odd nuclear power stations in the world and about 300 are on the coast or tidal rivers, if sea level rises like it's predicted, all these will be at risk, if it's worse than predicted 100 will be under water, it takes about 20 years to decommission ONE and a shit load of money so we need to get moving on that front if we need to decommission a hundred?.
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In the last five years despite all these so called c02 friendly initiatives, c02 output has gone UP 18%,.... Once it's entered the atmosphere it's there for at least a thousand years, despite websites still trotting out nonsense like 350.org, and there's a known 10 year lag meaning what we're feeling today is 2006 c02 output and on that note, 2008 the year where world GDP crumpled and banks collapsed saw a 4% INCREASE in c02!.
Apart from all that most of the very clever engineers like Saul grithis will tell you it takes about 100 gigatons of hydrocarbon fuel to convert your infrastructure to carbon neutral which is enough to tip us over 4 degrees let alone 2!.... Were currently emitting 2200 tonnes a second and counting!
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